31/08/2024
·
17:00
Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score
2-1
2nd Score
3-1
Hastings United vs Redhill Prediction — Model Probabilities
MODEL
iddaakolik
· Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Under/Over 2.5
Both Teams to Score
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
22%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
25%
6+ Goals
13%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
24%
1/2
7%
1/X
7%
X/1
19%
X/2
13%
X/X
9%
2/1
10%
2/2
5%
2/X
6%
PRO
iddaakolik
· Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
✋
Decision
No Bet — Skip This Match
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik
Market
EU Bookmakers
53%
Home Win
66%
22%
Draw
19%
25%
Away Win
15%
44%
Under 2.5
35%
56%
Over 2.5
65%
53%
BTTS Yes
57%
47%
BTTS No
43%
gold — our model
green — our served pick
grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Hastings United v Redhill — Team-Based Signals
PREVIEW
Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME
Hastings United
EU Bookmakers 70%
Head to Head
AWAY
Redhill
EU Bookmakers 18%
-8% /
-8%
Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations
+25% /
+25%
2.16/1.64
Expected GoalsScored / Conceded
1.98/3.00
-1%
/
-34%
Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.)
+85%
/
-31%
56%
Ball Possession
44%
16
Total Shots
10
6
Shots on Target
4
7
Corners
4
396 · 82%
PassesSuccessful · Accuracy
332 · 76%
–
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
–
–
Crosses
–
4.0
Yellow Cards
3.0
POST-MATCH
Hastings United vs Redhill
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened
Hastings United beat Redhill 3-1.
Just as the model leaned, our model had Hastings United as the likeliest winner at 53%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (56%) came in.
What was the final score of Hastings United vs Redhill?
Hastings United 3-1 Redhill in the England - FA Cup on 31/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Hastings United vs Redhill?
Before kick-off our model rated a Hastings United win the most likely single outcome at about 53%, with the full match-result split Hastings United 53%, draw 22%, Redhill 25%. The final score 3-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Hastings United), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.
✓ Match Result (Hastings United)
✓ Over 2.5
✓ BTTS Yes
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31 Aug 2024