TransINVEST Vilnius 0-3 Kauno Zalgiris — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Lithuania - 1st Division, 31 Aug 2024

📅31/08/2024 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
33%
3.32
Draw
26%
3.35
Away
41%
1.96
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
54%
1.86
Over 2.5
46%
1.86
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.75
No
52%
1.96
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
27%
2-3 Goals
43%
4-5 Goals
21%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
1/2
5%
1/X
7%
X/1
11%
X/2
14%
X/X
13%
2/1
7%
2/2
22%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
33%
Home Win
27%
+6.4pp
26%
Draw
26%
-0.7pp
41%
Away Win
47%
-5.7pp
54%
Under 2.5
50%
+3.9pp
46%
Over 2.5
50%
-3.9pp
48%
BTTS Yes
53%
-5.5pp
52%
BTTS No
47%
+5.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME TransINVEST Vilnius EU Bookmakers 30%
Head to Head
AWAY Kauno Zalgiris EU Bookmakers 51%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +18% / +18%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +9% / +11%
46% Ball Possession 54%
13 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 4
294 · 73% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 358 · 78%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME TransINVEST Vilnius
1W-0D-2L
AWAY Kauno Zalgiris
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
44% Ball Possession 56%
10 Total Shots 15
4 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 5
5 Yellow Cards 2
26.06.2024 Kauno Zalgiris Kauno Zalgiris 2-0 HT 1-0 TransINVEST Vilnius TransINVEST Vilnius LIT1
02.05.2024 TransINVEST Vilnius TransINVEST Vilnius 3-2 HT 0-2 Kauno Zalgiris Kauno Zalgiris LIT1
12.03.2024 Kauno Zalgiris Kauno Zalgiris 2-1 HT 0-0 TransINVEST Vilnius TransINVEST Vilnius LIT1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME TransINVEST Vilnius
0-3
AWAY Kauno Zalgiris
58% Ball Possession 42%
10 Total Shots 7
1 Shots on Target 5
8 Corners 4
0 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH TransINVEST Vilnius vs Kauno Zalgiris
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Kauno Zalgiris cruised past TransINVEST Vilnius 3-0 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Kauno Zalgiris as the likeliest winner at 41%, and the 3-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 46% and both teams to score was close to even at 48%.

On the day, TransINVEST Vilnius had 58% of the ball to Kauno Zalgiris's 42%, shots finished 10-7.

For context: across their last 3 meetings in our records, Kauno Zalgiris led the recent series with 2 wins. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for TransINVEST Vilnius and 2.00 for Kauno Zalgiris.

What was the final score of TransINVEST Vilnius vs Kauno Zalgiris?

TransINVEST Vilnius 0-3 Kauno Zalgiris in the Lithuania - 1st Division on 31/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for TransINVEST Vilnius vs Kauno Zalgiris?

Before kick-off our model rated an Kauno Zalgiris win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split TransINVEST Vilnius 33%, draw 26%, Kauno Zalgiris 41%. The final score 0-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Kauno Zalgiris), BTTS No — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Kauno Zalgiris) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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