Hartberg 0-1 Rapid Wien — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Austria - Bundesliga, 31 Aug 2025

📅31/08/2025 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
27%
3.5
Draw
23%
3.54
Away
50%
1.83
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
42%
1.91
Over 2.5
58%
1.8
Both Teams to Score
Yes
59%
1.73
No
41%
1.99
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
3.49
2-3 Goals
39%
1.81
4-5 Goals
25%
3.42
6+ Goals
12%
12.75
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
12%
6.1
1/2 EV+ ✗
10%
22.8
1/X
6%
14.6
X/1
9%
8.0
X/2
15%
4.4
X/X
13%
5.0
2/1
6%
34.5
2/2
24%
2.45
2/X
5%
13.5
Value flag · 1/2 at 22.8 — our 10% vs market 2.1%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
27%
Home Win
25%
+2.3pp
23%
Draw
25%
-1.7pp
50%
Away Win
50%
-0.6pp
42%
Under 2.5
48%
-6.8pp
58%
Over 2.5
52%
+6.8pp
59%
BTTS Yes
54%
+5.3pp
41%
BTTS No
46%
-5.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Hartberg EU Bookmakers 29%
Head to Head
AWAY Rapid Wien EU Bookmakers 55%
+2% / -3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -6% / -13%
1.20/1.55 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.64/1.05
-10% / +12% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -1% / +14%
44% Ball Possession 56%
10 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 6
263 · 72% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 387 · 79%
17.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 24.4
15.4 Crosses 19.0
2.3 Yellow Cards 2.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Hartberg
4W-0D-2L
AWAY Rapid Wien
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
1.33 xG 1.37
42% Ball Possession 58%
10 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 5
3 Corners 7
284 Passes 378
76% Pass Accuracy 80%
15 Box Touches 24
13 Crosses 22
3 Yellow Cards 2
09.03.2025 Hartberg Hartberg 2-1 HT 0-0 Rapid Wien Rapid Wien AVU
20.10.2024 Rapid Wien Rapid Wien 2-1 Hartberg Hartberg AVU
19.05.2024 Rapid Wien Rapid Wien 0-3 HT 0-1 Hartberg Hartberg AVU
31.03.2024 Hartberg Hartberg 0-3 HT 0-2 Rapid Wien Rapid Wien AVU
11.11.2023 Hartberg Hartberg 1-0 HT 1-0 Rapid Wien Rapid Wien AVU
13.08.2023 Rapid Wien Rapid Wien 0-1 HT 0-0 Hartberg Hartberg AVU
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Hartberg
0-1
AWAY Rapid Wien
0.47 xG 2.00
32% Ball Possession 68%
6 Total Shots 16
2 Shots on Target 5
0 Corners 5
201 Passes 496
72% Pass Accuracy 86%
10 Box Touches 29
7 Crosses 25
3 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Hartberg vs Rapid Wien
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Rapid Wien nicked a narrow win over Hartberg 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Rapid Wien as the likeliest winner at 50%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (58%), both teams to score (59%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Hartberg had 32% of the ball to Rapid Wien's 68%, shots finished 6-16, expected goals 0.47 to 2.00 — an xG gap that size says the one-goal margin undersold Rapid Wien's control.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Hartberg had the better of it with 4 wins. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Hartberg and 1.00 for Rapid Wien.

What was the final score of Hartberg vs Rapid Wien?

Hartberg 0-1 Rapid Wien in the Austria - Bundesliga on 31/08/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Hartberg vs Rapid Wien?

Before kick-off our model rated an Rapid Wien win the most likely single outcome at about 50%, with the full match-result split Hartberg 27%, draw 23%, Rapid Wien 50%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Rapid Wien) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Rapid Wien) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
AVU More Austria - Bundesliga
31 Aug 2025
00:00 Austria Wien vs Rheindorf Altach Analysis →
18:00 Swarovski Tirol vs Wolfsberger AC Analysis →