Daejeon Citizen 2-1 Gimcheon Sangmu — Result, Statistics & Match Review — South Kore - K League Classic, 31 Aug 2025

📅31/08/2025 · 🕒13:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
37%
2.19
Draw
24%
3.45
Away
39%
2.72
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
48%
2.15
Over 2.5
52%
1.64
Both Teams to Score
Yes
54%
1.55
No
46%
2.29
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
4.21
2-3 Goals
40%
1.87
4-5 Goals
23%
3.02
6+ Goals
11%
9.25
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
12%
3.17
1/2 EV+ ✗
9%
26.5
1/X
6%
12.35
X/1
17%
5.42
X/2
13%
6.33
X/X
12%
5.21
2/1
8%
23.65
2/2
17%
4.04
2/X
6%
12.6
Value flag · 1/2 at 26.5 — our 9% vs market 1.7%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
36%
Home Win
42%
-5.1pp
24%
Draw
25%
-0.9pp
39%
Away Win
33%
+6.0pp
48%
Under 2.5
43%
+4.8pp
52%
Over 2.5
57%
-4.8pp
54%
BTTS Yes
60%
-6.6pp
46%
BTTS No
40%
+6.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Daejeon Citizen EU Bookmakers 46%
Head to Head
AWAY Gimcheon Sangmu EU Bookmakers 37%
+15% / +15% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +6% / +12%
1.28/0.97 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.31/1.02
-9% / +11% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +7% / +24%
51% Ball Possession 49%
14 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 3
358 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 343 · 79%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 22.0
18.5 Crosses 20.9
1.6 Yellow Cards 1.9
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Daejeon Citizen
2W-3D-1L
AWAY Gimcheon Sangmu
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 0.67
1.64 xG 0.87
46% Ball Possession 54%
11 Total Shots 15
3 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 6
314 Passes 394
77% Pass Accuracy 83%
17 Box Touches 28
15 Crosses 22
1 Yellow Cards 1
18.06.2025 Daejeon Citizen Daejeon Citizen 0-0 HT 0-0 Gimcheon Sangmu Gimcheon Sangmu GKOR
19.04.2025 Gimcheon Sangmu Gimcheon Sangmu 0-2 HT 0-1 Daejeon Citizen Daejeon Citizen GKOR
25.08.2024 Gimcheon Sangmu Gimcheon Sangmu 2-2 HT 1-0 Daejeon Citizen Daejeon Citizen GKOR
25.06.2024 Gimcheon Sangmu Gimcheon Sangmu 2-0 HT 0-0 Daejeon Citizen Daejeon Citizen GKOK
30.04.2024 Daejeon Citizen Daejeon Citizen 0-0 HT 0-0 Gimcheon Sangmu Gimcheon Sangmu GKOK
29.10.2022 Gimcheon Sangmu Gimcheon Sangmu 0-4 HT 0-1 Daejeon Citizen Daejeon Citizen GKOK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Daejeon Citizen
2-1
AWAY Gimcheon Sangmu
56% Ball Possession 44%
24 Total Shots 10
7 Shots on Target 2
11 Corners 3
363 Passes 274
84% Pass Accuracy 78%
32 Crosses 13
2 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Daejeon Citizen vs Gimcheon Sangmu
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Daejeon Citizen squeezed past Gimcheon Sangmu 2-1. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

We called this one close before kick-off — 36% / 24% / 39% — and on the day Daejeon Citizen made the difference.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 52% and both teams to score was close to even at 54%.

On the day, Daejeon Citizen had 56% of the ball to Gimcheon Sangmu's 44%, shots finished 24-10.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Daejeon Citizen had the better of it with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Daejeon Citizen and 0.67 for Gimcheon Sangmu.

What was the final score of Daejeon Citizen vs Gimcheon Sangmu?

Daejeon Citizen 2-1 Gimcheon Sangmu in the South Kore - K League Classic on 31/08/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Daejeon Citizen vs Gimcheon Sangmu?

Before kick-off our model rated an Gimcheon Sangmu win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Daejeon Citizen 36%, draw 24%, Gimcheon Sangmu 39%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Gimcheon Sangmu) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Gimcheon Sangmu) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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31 Aug 2025
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