Cambuur 3-1 VVV-Venlo — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Netherlands - Eerste Divisie, 31 Aug 2025

Cambuur
3-1 HT 2-0
VVV-Venlo
📅31/08/2025 · 🕒17:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 ✗ 2nd Score 3-1 ✓
Netherlands - Eerste Divisie – 2025/2026

Cambuur vs VVV-Venlo Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
63%
1.53
Draw
17%
4.08
Away
20%
4.75
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
41%
2.38
Over 2.5
59%
1.52
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
1.63
No
47%
2.13
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
22%
4.58
2-3 Goals
37%
1.87
4-5 Goals
28%
2.63
6+ Goals
13%
6.86
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
35%
1.87
1/2
6%
34.5
1/X
4%
15.0
X/1
16%
4.15
X/2
8%
11.05
X/X
7%
6.61
2/1 EV+ ✗
12%
19.25
2/2
7%
8.23
2/X
5%
16.7
Value flag · 2/1 at 19.25 — our 12% vs market 2.7%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
63%
Home Win
61%
+1.7pp
17%
Draw
21%
-4.2pp
20%
Away Win
18%
+2.5pp
41%
Under 2.5
38%
+3.1pp
59%
Over 2.5
62%
-3.1pp
53%
BTTS Yes
57%
-4.4pp
47%
BTTS No
43%
+4.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Cambuur v VVV-Venlo — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Cambuur EU Bookmakers 65%
Head to Head
AWAY VVV-Venlo EU Bookmakers 21%
-13% / -11% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +6% / +6%
1.84/0.88 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.23/1.86
-1% / -23% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +8% / +7%
54% Ball Possession 46%
14 Total Shots 12
6 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 5
394 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 296 · 76%
26.8 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 17.4
22.0 Crosses 16.9
1.7 Yellow Cards 1.5

Cambuur vs VVV-Venlo Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Cambuur
3W-1D-2L
AWAY VVV-Venlo
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
2.10 xG 0.95
57% Ball Possession 43%
16 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
347 Passes 277
81% Pass Accuracy 76%
26 Box Touches 14
18 Crosses 16
2 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
28.02.2025 Cambuur Cambuur 5-0 HT 2-0 VVV-Venlo VVV-Venlo HOL2
04.10.2024 VVV-Venlo VVV-Venlo 0-1 HT 0-1 Cambuur Cambuur HOL2
10.02.2024 Cambuur Cambuur 3-3 HT 2-2 VVV-Venlo VVV-Venlo HOL2
24.11.2023 VVV-Venlo VVV-Venlo 1-2 HT 0-2 Cambuur Cambuur HOL2
13.01.2017 Cambuur Cambuur 0-2 HT 0-2 VVV-Venlo VVV-Venlo HOL2
05.08.2016 VVV-Venlo VVV-Venlo 2-1 HT 1-1 Cambuur Cambuur HOL2

Cambuur 3-1 VVV-Venlo — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Cambuur
3-1
AWAY VVV-Venlo
0.78 xG 1.22
56% Ball Possession 44%
7 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 5
2 Corners 4
383 Passes 262
81% Pass Accuracy 73%
19 Box Touches 18
9 Crosses 17
2 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Cambuur vs VVV-Venlo
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Cambuur saw off VVV-Venlo 3-1. Half-time: 2-0.

As we said in the preview, our model had Cambuur as the likeliest winner at 63%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (59%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Cambuur had 56% of the ball to VVV-Venlo's 44%, shots finished 7-12, expected goals 0.78 to 1.22 — on chances, VVV-Venlo could feel hard done by.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Cambuur had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for Cambuur and 1.33 for VVV-Venlo.

What was the final score of Cambuur vs VVV-Venlo?

Cambuur 3-1 VVV-Venlo in the Netherlands - Eerste Divisie on 31/08/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Cambuur vs VVV-Venlo?

Before kick-off our model rated a Cambuur win the most likely single outcome at about 63%, with the full match-result split Cambuur 63%, draw 17%, VVV-Venlo 20%. The final score 3-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Cambuur), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Cambuur) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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