NAC Breda 0-1 AZ Alkmaar — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Netherlands - Eredivisie, 31 Aug 2025

NAC Breda
0-1 HT 0-0
AZ Alkmaar
📅31/08/2025 · 🕒17:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 ✗ 2nd Score 2-2 ✗
Netherlands - Eredivisie – 2025/2026

NAC Breda vs AZ Alkmaar Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
31%
3.87
Draw
26%
3.72
Away
43%
1.71
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
46%
2.07
Over 2.5
54%
1.68
Both Teams to Score
Yes
58%
1.7
No
42%
2.03
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
22%
3.76
2-3 Goals
41%
1.8
4-5 Goals
24%
3.02
6+ Goals
13%
9.8
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
14%
6.98
1/2
8%
21.35
1/X
8%
15.15
X/1
10%
9.2
X/2
13%
4.29
X/X
9%
5.46
2/1
7%
34.5
2/2
22%
2.18
2/X
9%
13.75
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
31%
Home Win
22%
+8.5pp
26%
Draw
23%
+2.2pp
44%
Away Win
54%
-10.7pp
46%
Under 2.5
44%
+2.0pp
54%
Over 2.5
56%
-2.0pp
58%
BTTS Yes
55%
+3.6pp
42%
BTTS No
45%
-3.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

NAC Breda v AZ Alkmaar — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME NAC Breda EU Bookmakers 26%
Head to Head
AWAY AZ Alkmaar EU Bookmakers 58%
+10% / +14% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -1% / +7%
1.10/1.31 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.61/1.13
-3% / +51% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -3% / +9%
44% Ball Possession 56%
12 Total Shots 15
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 6
289 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 404 · 81%
23.3 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 28.9
19.9 Crosses 16.7
2.1 Yellow Cards 1.4

NAC Breda vs AZ Alkmaar Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME NAC Breda
1W-1D-4L
AWAY AZ Alkmaar
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.50
1.10 xG 1.82
35% Ball Possession 65%
9 Total Shots 18
4 Shots on Target 8
3 Corners 8
243 Passes 542
74% Pass Accuracy 87%
13 Box Touches 41
10 Crosses 20
2 Yellow Cards 1
The Meetings
24.04.2025 AZ Alkmaar AZ Alkmaar 1-1 HT 0-0 NAC Breda NAC Breda HOL
15.12.2024 NAC Breda NAC Breda 1-2 HT 1-0 AZ Alkmaar AZ Alkmaar HOL
12.02.2020 AZ Alkmaar AZ Alkmaar 1-3 HT 0-1 NAC Breda NAC Breda HOK
08.02.2019 NAC Breda NAC Breda 0-3 HT 0-1 AZ Alkmaar AZ Alkmaar HOL
12.08.2018 AZ Alkmaar AZ Alkmaar 5-0 HT 3-0 NAC Breda NAC Breda HOL
17.02.2018 NAC Breda NAC Breda 1-3 HT 0-1 AZ Alkmaar AZ Alkmaar HOL

NAC Breda 0-1 AZ Alkmaar — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME NAC Breda
0-1
AWAY AZ Alkmaar
1.96 xG 2.82
38% Ball Possession 62%
11 Total Shots 25
6 Shots on Target 8
1 Corners 7
215 Passes 405
76% Pass Accuracy 88%
24 Box Touches 47
15 Crosses 14
0 Yellow Cards 5
FAQ NAC Breda vs AZ Alkmaar
Match summary & frequently asked questions

AZ Alkmaar edged past NAC Breda 1-0 away from home in the Netherlands - Eredivisie on 31 Aug 2025. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 54% and both teams to score was close to even at 58%.

On the day, NAC Breda had 38% of the ball to AZ Alkmaar's 62%, shots finished 11-25, expected goals 1.96 to 2.82.

Across their last 6 meetings in our records, AZ Alkmaar lead the recent series with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for NAC Breda and 2.50 for AZ Alkmaar.

What was the final score of NAC Breda vs AZ Alkmaar?

NAC Breda 0-1 AZ Alkmaar in the Netherlands - Eredivisie on 31/08/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for NAC Breda vs AZ Alkmaar?

Before kick-off our model rated an AZ Alkmaar win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split NAC Breda 31%, draw 26%, AZ Alkmaar 44%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (AZ Alkmaar) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (AZ Alkmaar) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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