PEC Zwolle 0-2 Utrecht — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Netherlands - Eredivisie, 31 Aug 2025

PEC Zwolle
0-2 HT 0-2
Utrecht
📅31/08/2025 · 🕒15:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 ✗ 2nd Score 0-0 ✗
Netherlands - Eredivisie – 2025/2026

PEC Zwolle vs Utrecht Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
30%
3.08
Draw
29%
3.35
Away
41%
2.03
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
1.95
Over 2.5
47%
1.78
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.68
No
49%
2.06
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
30%
3.43
2-3 Goals
43%
1.76
4-5 Goals
20%
3.22
6+ Goals
7%
11.55
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.43 — our 30% vs market 22.7%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
12%
5.08
1/2
5%
23.65
1/X
10%
13.2
X/1
6%
7.15
X/2
15%
4.87
X/X
16%
4.78
2/1
11%
33.0
2/2
21%
2.8
2/X
4%
12.45
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
29%
Home Win
29%
+0.7pp
29%
Draw
26%
+3.1pp
41%
Away Win
45%
-3.8pp
53%
Under 2.5
48%
+5.8pp
47%
Over 2.5
52%
-5.8pp
51%
BTTS Yes
56%
-4.2pp
49%
BTTS No
44%
+4.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

PEC Zwolle v Utrecht — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME PEC Zwolle EU Bookmakers 32%
Head to Head
AWAY Utrecht EU Bookmakers 49%
+8% / +16% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +4% / +5%
1.22/1.39 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.61/1.18
+9% / +31% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +7% / +22%
49% Ball Possession 51%
11 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
324 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 336 · 77%
21.7 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 24.6
17.7 Crosses 20.3
1.8 Yellow Cards 1.6

PEC Zwolle vs Utrecht Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME PEC Zwolle
1W-2D-3L
AWAY Utrecht
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 2.50
0.73 xG 2.50
52% Ball Possession 48%
10 Total Shots 15
4 Shots on Target 6
3 Corners 5
358 Passes 311
79% Pass Accuracy 76%
20 Box Touches 30
17 Crosses 23
2 Yellow Cards 1
The Meetings
01.02.2025 PEC Zwolle PEC Zwolle 3-3 HT 2-0 Utrecht Utrecht HOL
11.08.2024 Utrecht Utrecht 1-0 HT 1-0 PEC Zwolle PEC Zwolle HOL
03.04.2024 Utrecht Utrecht 5-1 HT 0-0 PEC Zwolle PEC Zwolle HOL
27.08.2023 PEC Zwolle PEC Zwolle 1-0 HT 0-0 Utrecht Utrecht HOL
07.05.2022 PEC Zwolle PEC Zwolle 1-1 HT 0-1 Utrecht Utrecht HOL
25.09.2021 Utrecht Utrecht 5-1 HT 1-0 PEC Zwolle PEC Zwolle HOL

PEC Zwolle 0-2 Utrecht — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME PEC Zwolle
0-2
AWAY Utrecht
0.95 xG 1.14
48% Ball Possession 52%
6 Total Shots 14
2 Shots on Target 7
3 Corners 2
341 Passes 363
81% Pass Accuracy 79%
20 Box Touches 15
9 Crosses 9
2 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH PEC Zwolle vs Utrecht
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Utrecht beat PEC Zwolle 2-0 away from home.

As we said in the preview, our model had Utrecht as the likeliest winner at 41%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 47% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.

On the day, PEC Zwolle had 48% of the ball to Utrecht's 52%, shots finished 6-14, expected goals 0.95 to 1.14.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Utrecht led the recent series with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for PEC Zwolle and 2.50 for Utrecht.

What was the final score of PEC Zwolle vs Utrecht?

PEC Zwolle 0-2 Utrecht in the Netherlands - Eredivisie on 31/08/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for PEC Zwolle vs Utrecht?

Before kick-off our model rated an Utrecht win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split PEC Zwolle 29%, draw 29%, Utrecht 41%. The final score 0-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Utrecht), Under 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Utrecht) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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