Fortuna Sittard 3-2 NEC Nijmegen — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Netherlands - Eredivisie, 31 Aug 2025

📅31/08/2025 · 🕒13:15 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
32%
2.8
Draw
25%
3.45
Away
43%
2.16
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
43%
2.21
Over 2.5
57%
1.6
Both Teams to Score
Yes
58%
1.53
No
42%
2.33
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
21%
4.31
2-3 Goals
43%
1.85
4-5 Goals
25%
2.8
6+ Goals
11%
7.95
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
12%
4.24
1/2
6%
22.35
1/X
6%
12.55
X/1
10%
6.67
X/2
15%
5.32
X/X
12%
5.37
2/1 EV+ ✗
10%
27.0
2/2
22%
2.99
2/X
7%
12.2
Value flag · 2/1 at 27.0 — our 10% vs market 1.7%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
32%
Home Win
32%
-0.4pp
25%
Draw
26%
-0.2pp
43%
Away Win
42%
+0.6pp
43%
Under 2.5
41%
+1.5pp
57%
Over 2.5
59%
-1.5pp
58%
BTTS Yes
61%
-3.6pp
42%
BTTS No
39%
+3.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Fortuna Sittard EU Bookmakers 36%
Head to Head
AWAY NEC Nijmegen EU Bookmakers 46%
+1% / -2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +4% / +6%
1.53/1.42 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.45/1.25
-9% / -2% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +17% / +24%
49% Ball Possession 51%
13 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 4
308 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 318 · 76%
25.5 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 24.0
23.7 Crosses 21.4
1.8 Yellow Cards 1.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Fortuna Sittard
0W-2D-4L
AWAY NEC Nijmegen
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.67
1.43 xG 1.52
46% Ball Possession 54%
15 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 4
334 Passes 401
82% Pass Accuracy 85%
20 Box Touches 24
22 Crosses 19
2 Yellow Cards 1
19.01.2025 NEC Nijmegen NEC Nijmegen 4-1 HT 1-1 Fortuna Sittard Fortuna Sittard HOL
31.08.2024 Fortuna Sittard Fortuna Sittard 0-3 HT 0-2 NEC Nijmegen NEC Nijmegen HOL
02.04.2024 Fortuna Sittard Fortuna Sittard 1-1 HT 0-0 NEC Nijmegen NEC Nijmegen HOL
15.12.2023 NEC Nijmegen NEC Nijmegen 4-1 HT 2-0 Fortuna Sittard Fortuna Sittard HOL
28.05.2023 Fortuna Sittard Fortuna Sittard 1-1 HT 0-0 NEC Nijmegen NEC Nijmegen HOL
19.10.2022 NEC Nijmegen NEC Nijmegen 3-2 HT 1-1 Fortuna Sittard Fortuna Sittard HOK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Fortuna Sittard
3-2
AWAY NEC Nijmegen
1.45 xG 1.90
38% Ball Possession 62%
10 Total Shots 14
5 Shots on Target 5
3 Corners 4
174 Passes 351
62% Pass Accuracy 79%
17 Box Touches 42
10 Crosses 26
4 Yellow Cards 1
FAQ Fortuna Sittard vs NEC Nijmegen
Match summary & frequently asked questions

Fortuna Sittard edged past NEC Nijmegen 3-2 in the Netherlands - Eredivisie on 31 Aug 2025. Half-time: 2-1. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 57% and both teams to score was close to even at 58%.

On the day, Fortuna Sittard had 38% of the ball to NEC Nijmegen's 62%, shots finished 10-14, expected goals 1.45 to 1.90.

Across their last 6 meetings in our records, NEC Nijmegen lead the recent series with 4 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Fortuna Sittard and 2.67 for NEC Nijmegen.

What was the final score of Fortuna Sittard vs NEC Nijmegen?

Fortuna Sittard 3-2 NEC Nijmegen in the Netherlands - Eredivisie on 31/08/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Fortuna Sittard vs NEC Nijmegen?

Before kick-off our model rated an NEC Nijmegen win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Fortuna Sittard 32%, draw 25%, NEC Nijmegen 43%. The final score 3-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (NEC Nijmegen) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (NEC Nijmegen) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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