Valour 1-1 Pacific FC — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Kanada - Premier League, 31 Aug 2025

📅31/08/2025 · 🕒22:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
44%
1.82
Draw
27%
3.54
Away
29%
3.63
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
48%
1.86
Over 2.5
52%
1.86
Both Teams to Score
Yes
54%
1.81
No
46%
1.9
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
27%
3.04
2-3 Goals
37%
1.71
4-5 Goals EV+ ✗
26%
3.41
6+ Goals
10%
13.6
Value flag · 4-5 Goals at 3.41 — our 26% vs market 22.2%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
21%
1/2
8%
1/X
6%
X/1
15%
X/2
12%
X/X
14%
2/1
7%
2/2
10%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
44%
Home Win
51%
-7.2pp
27%
Draw
25%
+2.2pp
29%
Away Win
24%
+5.0pp
48%
Under 2.5
50%
-2.4pp
52%
Over 2.5
50%
+2.4pp
54%
BTTS Yes
51%
+3.0pp
46%
BTTS No
49%
-3.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Valour EU Bookmakers 55%
Head to Head
AWAY Pacific FC EU Bookmakers 28%
-8% / -8% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +8% / +8%
0.96/1.04 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.04/1.06
-56% / +2% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -20% / +5%
53% Ball Possession 47%
14 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
377 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 305 · 78%
17.3 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 17.9
21.2 Crosses 19.0
2.7 Yellow Cards 2.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Valour
2W-1D-3L
AWAY Pacific FC
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
0.76 xG 1.25
50% Ball Possession 50%
10 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
338 Passes 353
78% Pass Accuracy 80%
19 Box Touches 24
19 Crosses 14
3 Yellow Cards 3
02.06.2025 Valour Valour 0-0 HT 0-0 Pacific FC Pacific FC KAPL
06.04.2025 Pacific FC Pacific FC 2-0 HT 2-0 Valour Valour KAPL
01.10.2024 Valour Valour 1-0 HT 0-0 Pacific FC Pacific FC KAPL
29.07.2024 Pacific FC Pacific FC 0-3 HT 0-1 Valour Valour KAPL
15.06.2024 Valour Valour 2-3 HT 1-2 Pacific FC Pacific FC KAPL
20.04.2024 Pacific FC Pacific FC 2-0 HT 0-0 Valour Valour CAPL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Valour
1-1
AWAY Pacific FC
1.01 xG 1.33
51% Ball Possession 49%
12 Total Shots 9
3 Shots on Target 5
2 Corners 7
408 Passes 379
89% Pass Accuracy 86%
20 Box Touches 17
17 Crosses 15
2 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Valour vs Pacific FC
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Valour and Pacific FC shared the points in a 1-1 draw.

Our pre-match lean was Valour at 44%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 52% and both teams to score was close to even at 54%.

On the day, Valour had 51% of the ball to Pacific FC's 49%, shots finished 12-9, expected goals 1.01 to 1.33.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Pacific FC led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Valour and 1.17 for Pacific FC.

What was the final score of Valour vs Pacific FC?

Valour 1-1 Pacific FC in the Kanada - Premier League on 31/08/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Valour vs Pacific FC?

Before kick-off our model rated a Valour win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Valour 44%, draw 27%, Pacific FC 29%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Valour), Over 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Valour) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
KAPL More Kanada - Premier League
31 Aug 2025
02:00 Atletico Ottawa vs Vancouver FC Analysis →