Atletico Ottawa 3-1 Vancouver FC — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Kanada - Premier League, 31 Aug 2025

📅31/08/2025 · 🕒02:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 3-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
63%
1.57
Draw
20%
3.94
Away
17%
4.75
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
40%
2.21
Over 2.5
60%
1.6
Both Teams to Score
Yes
57%
1.68
No
43%
2.06
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
22%
4.11
2-3 Goals
37%
1.81
4-5 Goals
27%
2.78
6+ Goals
14%
8.03
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
27%
1/2
6%
1/X
6%
X/1
21%
X/2
6%
X/X
9%
2/1
15%
2/2
5%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
63%
Home Win
60%
+3.4pp
20%
Draw
22%
-2.0pp
17%
Away Win
18%
-1.5pp
40%
Under 2.5
41%
-1.3pp
60%
Over 2.5
59%
+1.3pp
57%
BTTS Yes
56%
+1.1pp
43%
BTTS No
44%
-1.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Atletico Ottawa EU Bookmakers 64%
Head to Head
AWAY Vancouver FC EU Bookmakers 21%
-1% / -1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +8% / +8%
2.02/0.97 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.26/1.76
+10% / -16% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +65% / -29%
55% Ball Possession 45%
14 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
411 · 83% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 316 · 78%
25.8 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 16.1
13.4 Crosses 14.0
1.8 Yellow Cards 2.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Atletico Ottawa
2W-3D-1L
AWAY Vancouver FC
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
2.35 xG 0.80
53% Ball Possession 47%
19 Total Shots 8
7 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
359 Passes 312
81% Pass Accuracy 79%
29 Box Touches 16
16 Crosses 15
2 Yellow Cards 3
31.05.2025 Vancouver FC Vancouver FC 2-2 HT 2-0 Atletico Ottawa Atletico Ottawa KAPL
14.04.2025 Vancouver FC Vancouver FC 1-4 HT 0-3 Atletico Ottawa Atletico Ottawa KAPL
19.10.2024 Atletico Ottawa Atletico Ottawa 0-0 HT 0-0 Vancouver FC Vancouver FC KAPL
01.09.2024 Atletico Ottawa Atletico Ottawa 1-0 HT 1-0 Vancouver FC Vancouver FC KAPL
13.05.2024 Vancouver FC Vancouver FC 1-1 HT 0-0 Atletico Ottawa Atletico Ottawa CAPL
10.09.2023 Vancouver FC Vancouver FC 2-1 HT 1-1 Atletico Ottawa Atletico Ottawa CAPL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Atletico Ottawa
3-1
AWAY Vancouver FC
2.58 xG 1.66
62% Ball Possession 38%
15 Total Shots 16
8 Shots on Target 2
3 Corners 8
510 Passes 281
88% Pass Accuracy 81%
18 Box Touches 20
11 Crosses 19
1 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Atletico Ottawa vs Vancouver FC
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Atletico Ottawa saw off Vancouver FC 3-1. Half-time: 2-1.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Atletico Ottawa as the likeliest winner at 63%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (60%), both teams to score (57%) came in.

On the day, Atletico Ottawa had 62% of the ball to Vancouver FC's 38%, shots finished 15-16, expected goals 2.58 to 1.66.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Atletico Ottawa had the better of it with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Atletico Ottawa and 1.00 for Vancouver FC.

What was the final score of Atletico Ottawa vs Vancouver FC?

Atletico Ottawa 3-1 Vancouver FC in the Kanada - Premier League on 31/08/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Atletico Ottawa vs Vancouver FC?

Before kick-off our model rated a Atletico Ottawa win the most likely single outcome at about 63%, with the full match-result split Atletico Ottawa 63%, draw 20%, Vancouver FC 17%. The final score 3-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Atletico Ottawa), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Atletico Ottawa) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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31 Aug 2025
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