Aparecida vs Vila Mea Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Aparecida v Vila Mea — Team-Based Signals
Aparecida 1-3 Vila Mea — Actual Match Statistics
Vila Mea beat Aparecida 3-1 away from home.
We called this one close before kick-off — 37% / 25% / 39% — and on the day Vila Mea made the difference. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (61%), both teams to score (58%) came in.
On the day, Aparecida had 47% of the ball to Vila Mea's 53%, shots finished 12-12.
What was the final score of Aparecida vs Vila Mea?
Aparecida 1-3 Vila Mea in the Portugal - Cup on 31/08/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Aparecida vs Vila Mea?
Before kick-off our model rated an Vila Mea win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Aparecida 37%, draw 25%, Vila Mea 39%. The final score 1-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Vila Mea), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.