Castro Daire 1-2 Anadia — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Portugal - Cup, 31 Aug 2025

📅31/08/2025 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
26%
4.71
Draw
22%
3.94
Away
52%
1.56
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
42%
2.1
Over 2.5
58%
1.67
Both Teams to Score
Yes
57%
1.76
No
43%
1.95
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
21%
2-3 Goals
43%
4-5 Goals
25%
6+ Goals
11%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
8%
1/2
7%
1/X
6%
X/1
13%
X/2
22%
X/X
11%
2/1
4%
2/2
23%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Over 2.5 ★★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
26%
Home Win
18%
+7.6pp
23%
Draw
22%
+0.5pp
52%
Away Win
60%
-8.1pp
42%
Under 2.5
44%
-2.1pp
58%
Over 2.5
56%
+2.1pp
57%
BTTS Yes
53%
+4.1pp
43%
BTTS No
47%
-4.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Castro Daire EU Bookmakers 21%
Head to Head
AWAY Anadia EU Bookmakers 64%
+4% / +4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +24% / +24%
2.00/2.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.00/1.00
+64% / -19% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +6% / -14%
45% Ball Possession 55%
10 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 7
248 · 67% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 417 · 81%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
3.0 Yellow Cards
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Castro Daire
1-2
AWAY Anadia
45% Ball Possession 55%
15 Total Shots 18
4 Shots on Target 7
7 Corners 11
3 Yellow Cards 5
POST-MATCH Castro Daire vs Anadia
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Anadia squeezed past Castro Daire 2-1 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Anadia as the likeliest winner at 52%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (58%), both teams to score (57%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, Castro Daire had 45% of the ball to Anadia's 55%, shots finished 15-18.

What was the final score of Castro Daire vs Anadia?

Castro Daire 1-2 Anadia in the Portugal - Cup on 31/08/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Castro Daire vs Anadia?

Before kick-off our model rated an Anadia win the most likely single outcome at about 52%, with the full match-result split Castro Daire 26%, draw 23%, Anadia 52%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Anadia), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Anadia) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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