Cinfaes 0-1 AD Marco 09 — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Portugal - Cup, 31 Aug 2025

📅31/08/2025 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
38%
2.84
Draw
32%
2.88
Away
30%
2.47
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
54%
1.52
Over 2.5
46%
2.38
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
2.06
No
49%
1.68
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
35%
2-3 Goals
35%
4-5 Goals
22%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
21%
1/2
8%
1/X
3%
X/1
8%
X/2
8%
X/X
26%
2/1
8%
2/2
15%
2/X
3%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
38%
Home Win
32%
+6.5pp
31%
Draw
31%
+0.1pp
30%
Away Win
37%
-6.6pp
54%
Under 2.5
62%
-8.3pp
46%
Over 2.5
38%
+8.3pp
51%
BTTS Yes
44%
+6.7pp
49%
BTTS No
56%
-6.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Cinfaes EU Bookmakers 35%
Head to Head
AWAY AD Marco 09 EU Bookmakers 40%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +2% / +2%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +51% / -31%
48% Ball Possession 52%
10 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 4
307 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 343 · 79%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards 4.0
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Cinfaes
0-1
AWAY AD Marco 09
49% Ball Possession 51%
15 Total Shots 21
3 Shots on Target 11
5 Corners 5
3 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Cinfaes vs AD Marco 09
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

AD Marco 09 edged past Cinfaes 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match split (38% / 31% / 30%) promised a tight game; AD Marco 09 found the edge the numbers couldn't.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 46% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.

On the day, Cinfaes had 49% of the ball to AD Marco 09's 51%, shots finished 15-21.

What was the final score of Cinfaes vs AD Marco 09?

Cinfaes 0-1 AD Marco 09 in the Portugal - Cup on 31/08/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Cinfaes vs AD Marco 09?

Before kick-off our model rated a Cinfaes win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Cinfaes 38%, draw 31%, AD Marco 09 30%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Cinfaes), BTTS Yes went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Cinfaes) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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