Gouveia 4-2 Beira-Mar — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Portugal - Cup, 31 Aug 2025

📅31/08/2025 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
36%
3.08
Draw
29%
3.18
Away
35%
2.16
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
49%
1.56
Over 2.5
51%
2.29
Both Teams to Score
Yes
57%
2.03
No
43%
1.7
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
29%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
23%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
13%
1/2
10%
1/X
11%
X/1
18%
X/2
13%
X/X
12%
2/1
4%
2/2
12%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
36%
Home Win
29%
+6.3pp
29%
Draw
28%
+1.1pp
35%
Away Win
43%
-7.6pp
49%
Under 2.5
60%
-11.1pp
51%
Over 2.5
40%
+11.1pp
57%
BTTS Yes
45%
+12.3pp
43%
BTTS No
55%
-12.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Gouveia EU Bookmakers 32%
Head to Head
AWAY Beira-Mar EU Bookmakers 46%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +23% / +23%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +45% / +4%
46% Ball Possession 54%
12 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 6
280 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 321 · 79%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards 3.5
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Gouveia
4-2
AWAY Beira-Mar
41% Ball Possession 59%
11 Total Shots 18
6 Shots on Target 8
6 Corners 11
6 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Gouveia vs Beira-Mar
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Gouveia got the better of Beira-Mar 4-2. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Our pre-match split (36% / 29% / 35%) promised a tight game; Gouveia found the edge the numbers couldn't. We had also flagged both teams to score (57%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Gouveia had 41% of the ball to Beira-Mar's 59%, shots finished 11-18.

What was the final score of Gouveia vs Beira-Mar?

Gouveia 4-2 Beira-Mar in the Portugal - Cup on 31/08/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Gouveia vs Beira-Mar?

Before kick-off our model rated a Gouveia win the most likely single outcome at about 36%, with the full match-result split Gouveia 36%, draw 29%, Beira-Mar 35%. The final score 4-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Gouveia), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Gouveia) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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