Marinhense 1-1 Samora Correia — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Portugal - Cup, 31 Aug 2025

Marinhense
1-1 HT 0-0
Samora Correia
📅31/08/2025 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 ✗ 2nd Score 2-0 ✗
Portugal - Cup – 2025/2026

Marinhense vs Samora Correia Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
58%
1.57
Draw
22%
3.64
Away
20%
5.11
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
57%
1.64
Over 2.5
43%
2.15
Both Teams to Score
Yes
44%
2.16
No
56%
1.61
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
38%
2-3 Goals
34%
4-5 Goals
20%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
30%
1/2
4%
1/X
3%
X/1
21%
X/2
8%
X/X
12%
2/1
7%
2/2
8%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
58%
Home Win
59%
-1.9pp
22%
Draw
24%
-1.9pp
20%
Away Win
16%
+3.8pp
57%
Under 2.5
57%
-0.6pp
43%
Over 2.5
43%
+0.6pp
44%
BTTS Yes
42%
+2.0pp
56%
BTTS No
58%
-2.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Marinhense v Samora Correia — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Marinhense EU Bookmakers 64%
Head to Head
AWAY Samora Correia EU Bookmakers 20%
-72% / -72% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
-58% / -58% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) – / –
54% Ball Possession 46%
13 Total Shots 8
6 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
302 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 300 · 78%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
– Yellow Cards –

Marinhense 1-1 Samora Correia — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Marinhense
1-1
AWAY Samora Correia
48% Ball Possession 52%
15 Total Shots 14
3 Shots on Target 9
6 Corners 9
6 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Marinhense vs Samora Correia
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Marinhense and Samora Correia couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. Half-time: 0-0.

This one beat our numbers. Marinhense carried 58% before kick-off and it didn't land — a reminder that even strong leads lose regularly. On goals, under 2.5 goals (57%) landed while no to both teams scoring (56%) missed.

On the day, Marinhense had 48% of the ball to Samora Correia's 52%, shots finished 15-14.

What was the final score of Marinhense vs Samora Correia?

Marinhense 1-1 Samora Correia in the Portugal - Cup on 31/08/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Marinhense vs Samora Correia?

Before kick-off our model rated a Marinhense win the most likely single outcome at about 58%, with the full match-result split Marinhense 58%, draw 22%, Samora Correia 20%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Marinhense), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Marinhense) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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