Oriental Lisboa 2-1 Alcochetense — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Portugal - Cup, 31 Aug 2025

📅31/08/2025 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
42%
2.02
Draw
20%
3.28
Away
38%
3.25
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
41%
1.78
Over 2.5
59%
1.95
Both Teams to Score
Yes
54%
1.76
No
46%
1.95
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
23%
2-3 Goals
39%
4-5 Goals
27%
6+ Goals
11%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
28%
1/2
4%
1/X
4%
X/1
6%
X/2
19%
X/X
8%
2/1
8%
2/2
15%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Over 2.5 ★★ Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
42%
Home Win
46%
-3.2pp
20%
Draw
27%
-7.2pp
38%
Away Win
27%
+10.4pp
41%
Under 2.5
52%
-11.1pp
59%
Over 2.5
48%
+11.1pp
54%
BTTS Yes
53%
+1.6pp
46%
BTTS No
47%
-1.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Oriental Lisboa EU Bookmakers 50%
Head to Head
AWAY Alcochetense EU Bookmakers 31%
-59% / -59% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
-39% / -31% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
49% Ball Possession 51%
12 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 4
388 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 286 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
POST-MATCH Oriental Lisboa vs Alcochetense
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Oriental Lisboa squeezed past Alcochetense 2-1. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match split (42% / 20% / 38%) promised a tight game; Oriental Lisboa found the edge the numbers couldn't. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (59%), and that read landed as well.

What was the final score of Oriental Lisboa vs Alcochetense?

Oriental Lisboa 2-1 Alcochetense in the Portugal - Cup on 31/08/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Oriental Lisboa vs Alcochetense?

Before kick-off our model rated a Oriental Lisboa win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Oriental Lisboa 42%, draw 20%, Alcochetense 38%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Oriental Lisboa), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Oriental Lisboa) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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