Monagas 2-0 Metropolitanos — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Venezuela - Premier League, 31 Aug 2025

📅31/08/2025 · 🕒01:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
51%
1.82
Draw
27%
3.45
Away
22%
3.71
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
54%
1.86
Over 2.5
46%
1.86
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
1.81
No
47%
1.9
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
30%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
19%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
30%
1/2
5%
1/X
9%
X/1
13%
X/2
7%
X/X
12%
2/1
8%
2/2
10%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
51%
Home Win
51%
-0.1pp
27%
Draw
26%
+1.4pp
22%
Away Win
24%
-1.3pp
54%
Under 2.5
50%
+3.6pp
46%
Over 2.5
50%
-3.6pp
53%
BTTS Yes
51%
+2.0pp
47%
BTTS No
49%
-2.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Monagas EU Bookmakers 55%
Head to Head
AWAY Metropolitanos EU Bookmakers 27%
-3% / +5% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +1% / -14%
1.21/0.91 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.06/1.38
+1% / -28% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +3% / -14%
51% Ball Possession 49%
12 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 5
324 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 290 · 77%
17.5 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 20.0
18.4 Crosses 19.0
3.2 Yellow Cards 3.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Monagas
1W-2D-3L
AWAY Metropolitanos
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 2.17
1.49 xG 1.64
49% Ball Possession 51%
15 Total Shots 14
6 Shots on Target 6
6 Corners 3
248 Passes 261
75% Pass Accuracy 76%
24 Box Touches 24
22 Crosses 20
3 Yellow Cards 2
31.03.2025 Metropolitanos Metropolitanos 2-2 HT 1-2 Monagas Monagas VEN
18.07.2024 Metropolitanos Metropolitanos 1-2 HT 1-1 Monagas Monagas VEN
04.02.2024 Monagas Monagas 2-4 HT 0-3 Metropolitanos Metropolitanos VEN
09.07.2023 Metropolitanos Metropolitanos 3-2 HT 0-2 Monagas Monagas VEN
08.05.2023 Monagas Monagas 0-2 HT 0-1 Metropolitanos Metropolitanos VEN
31.10.2022 Metropolitanos Metropolitanos 1-1 HT 0-0 Monagas Monagas VEN
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Monagas
2-0
AWAY Metropolitanos
1.73 xG 0.31
48% Ball Possession 52%
13 Total Shots 6
3 Shots on Target 1
1 Corners 4
294 Passes 310
83% Pass Accuracy 78%
15 Box Touches 17
13 Crosses 9
3 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Monagas vs Metropolitanos
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Monagas got the better of Metropolitanos 2-0. Half-time: 1-0.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Monagas as the likeliest winner at 51%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 46% and both teams to score was close to even at 53%.

On the day, Monagas had 48% of the ball to Metropolitanos's 52%, shots finished 13-6, expected goals 1.73 to 0.31.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Metropolitanos led the recent series with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Monagas and 2.17 for Metropolitanos.

What was the final score of Monagas vs Metropolitanos?

Monagas 2-0 Metropolitanos in the Venezuela - Premier League on 31/08/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Monagas vs Metropolitanos?

Before kick-off our model rated a Monagas win the most likely single outcome at about 51%, with the full match-result split Monagas 51%, draw 27%, Metropolitanos 22%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Monagas), Under 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Monagas) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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