Deportivo La Guaira 3-1 Portuguesa FC — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Venezuela - Premier League, 31 Aug 2025

📅31/08/2025 · 🕒03:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
60%
1.47
Draw
21%
3.94
Away
19%
5.79
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
55%
1.8
Over 2.5
45%
1.91
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
2.09
No
53%
1.66
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
33%
2-3 Goals
37%
4-5 Goals
21%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
1/2
4%
1/X
7%
X/1
33%
X/2
7%
X/X
10%
2/1
7%
2/2
7%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
60%
Home Win
64%
-3.6pp
21%
Draw
22%
-0.7pp
19%
Away Win
14%
+4.3pp
55%
Under 2.5
52%
+3.6pp
45%
Over 2.5
48%
-3.6pp
47%
BTTS Yes
44%
+3.0pp
53%
BTTS No
56%
-3.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Deportivo La Guaira EU Bookmakers 68%
Head to Head
AWAY Portuguesa FC EU Bookmakers 17%
-10% / -1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -1% / -10%
1.67/0.76 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.79/1.24
+9% / -28% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -22% / +8%
51% Ball Possession 49%
14 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
295 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 286 · 78%
21.9 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 12.6
20.6 Crosses 14.3
2.0 Yellow Cards 3.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Deportivo La Guaira
2W-2D-2L
AWAY Portuguesa FC
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
0.90 xG 1.07
51% Ball Possession 49%
10 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
3 Corners 5
284 Passes 290
78% Pass Accuracy 77%
12 Box Touches 17
18 Crosses 17
3 Yellow Cards 3
09.06.2025 Deportivo La Guaira Deportivo La Guaira 1-1 HT 1-0 Portuguesa FC Portuguesa FC VEN
04.05.2025 Portuguesa FC Portuguesa FC 1-2 HT 0-1 Deportivo La Guaira Deportivo La Guaira VEN
31.03.2025 Portuguesa FC Portuguesa FC 1-3 HT 1-1 Deportivo La Guaira Deportivo La Guaira VEN
05.10.2024 Portuguesa FC Portuguesa FC 2-1 HT 1-0 Deportivo La Guaira Deportivo La Guaira VEN
07.04.2024 Deportivo La Guaira Deportivo La Guaira 0-2 HT 0-1 Portuguesa FC Portuguesa FC VEN
27.08.2023 Deportivo La Guaira Deportivo La Guaira 2-2 HT 1-0 Portuguesa FC Portuguesa FC VEN
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Deportivo La Guaira
3-1
AWAY Portuguesa FC
2.33 xG 0.41
66% Ball Possession 34%
19 Total Shots 8
7 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 0
420 Passes 172
88% Pass Accuracy 70%
28 Box Touches 6
22 Crosses 6
2 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Deportivo La Guaira vs Portuguesa FC
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Deportivo La Guaira got the better of Portuguesa FC 3-1. It was 0-1 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

As we said in the preview, our model had Deportivo La Guaira as the likeliest winner at 60%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (55%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Deportivo La Guaira had 66% of the ball to Portuguesa FC's 34%, shots finished 19-8, expected goals 2.33 to 0.41.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Deportivo La Guaira and 1.50 for Portuguesa FC.

What was the final score of Deportivo La Guaira vs Portuguesa FC?

Deportivo La Guaira 3-1 Portuguesa FC in the Venezuela - Premier League on 31/08/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Deportivo La Guaira vs Portuguesa FC?

Before kick-off our model rated a Deportivo La Guaira win the most likely single outcome at about 60%, with the full match-result split Deportivo La Guaira 60%, draw 21%, Portuguesa FC 19%. The final score 3-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Deportivo La Guaira) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Deportivo La Guaira) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
VEN More Venezuela - Premier League
31 Aug 2025
01:00 Monagas vs Metropolitanos Analysis →