Deportivo La Guaira 1-1 Portuguesa FC — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Venezuela - Premier League, 9 Jun 2025

📅09/06/2025 · 🕒03:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
51%
1.37
Draw
30%
4.34
Away
19%
6.69
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
63%
1.95
Over 2.5
37%
1.78
Both Teams to Score
Yes
40%
2.09
No
60%
1.66
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
34%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
16%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
25%
1/2
5%
1/X
5%
X/1
19%
X/2
6%
X/X
20%
2/1
6%
2/2
8%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
50%
Home Win
68%
-18.0pp
30%
Draw
20%
+10.6pp
19%
Away Win
12%
+7.4pp
63%
Under 2.5
48%
+15.3pp
37%
Over 2.5
52%
-15.3pp
40%
BTTS Yes
44%
-4.0pp
60%
BTTS No
56%
+4.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Deportivo La Guaira EU Bookmakers 73%
Head to Head
AWAY Portuguesa FC EU Bookmakers 15%
-7% / -3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +8% / -3%
1.88/0.41 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.70/1.35
-31% / +0% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -10% / +21%
55% Ball Possession 45%
16 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 3
357 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 275 · 76%
24.8 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 12.5
26.5 Crosses 12.9
2.1 Yellow Cards 3.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Deportivo La Guaira
2W-1D-3L
AWAY Portuguesa FC
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
0.77 xG 1.38
48% Ball Possession 52%
10 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 5
3 Corners 5
247 Passes 302
75% Pass Accuracy 77%
11 Box Touches 20
14 Crosses 19
3 Yellow Cards 3
04.05.2025 Portuguesa FC Portuguesa FC 1-2 HT 0-1 Deportivo La Guaira Deportivo La Guaira VEN
31.03.2025 Portuguesa FC Portuguesa FC 1-3 HT 1-1 Deportivo La Guaira Deportivo La Guaira VEN
05.10.2024 Portuguesa FC Portuguesa FC 2-1 HT 1-0 Deportivo La Guaira Deportivo La Guaira VEN
07.04.2024 Deportivo La Guaira Deportivo La Guaira 0-2 HT 0-1 Portuguesa FC Portuguesa FC VEN
27.08.2023 Deportivo La Guaira Deportivo La Guaira 2-2 HT 1-0 Portuguesa FC Portuguesa FC VEN
11.03.2023 Portuguesa FC Portuguesa FC 2-0 HT 1-0 Deportivo La Guaira Deportivo La Guaira VEN
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Deportivo La Guaira
1-1
AWAY Portuguesa FC
1.18 xG 1.01
65% Ball Possession 35%
12 Total Shots 6
3 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 5
411 Passes 184
87% Pass Accuracy 72%
16 Box Touches 7
25 Crosses 10
3 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Deportivo La Guaira vs Portuguesa FC
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Deportivo La Guaira and Portuguesa FC couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

Our pre-match lean was Deportivo La Guaira at 50%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. On goals, under 2.5 goals (63%) landed while no to both teams scoring (60%) missed.

On the day, Deportivo La Guaira had 65% of the ball to Portuguesa FC's 35%, shots finished 12-6, expected goals 1.18 to 1.01.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Portuguesa FC led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Deportivo La Guaira and 1.67 for Portuguesa FC.

What was the final score of Deportivo La Guaira vs Portuguesa FC?

Deportivo La Guaira 1-1 Portuguesa FC in the Venezuela - Premier League on 09/06/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Deportivo La Guaira vs Portuguesa FC?

Before kick-off our model rated a Deportivo La Guaira win the most likely single outcome at about 50%, with the full match-result split Deportivo La Guaira 50%, draw 30%, Portuguesa FC 19%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Deportivo La Guaira), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Deportivo La Guaira) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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