Sporting Braga 2-1 Vitoria Guimaraes — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Portugal - League Cup, 31 Oct 2024

📅31/10/2024 · 🕒21:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Authentic Intelligence™ · Probability per market
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
46%
2.0
Draw
29%
3.18
Away
25%
3.44
Under/Over 2.5
Under Pick
57%
1.64
Over
43%
2.05
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.95
No
51%
1.76
Total Goals
0-1
31%
2.64
2-3
46%
1.77
4-5
19%
4.44
6+
4%
23.15
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
26%
2.85
1/2
2%
34.5
1/X
5%
14.0
X/1
18%
4.32
X/2
10%
7.11
X/X
19%
4.08
2/1
2%
28.5
2/2
13%
5.72
2/X
5%
14.55
STRENGTH — pattern support: Good → Great · fuller bar = deeper record. Informational.
Our Pick = the most likely outcome.
SIGNALS Team Signals — the why behind the numbers
iddaakolik predictions — not real match figures
HOME Sporting Braga The Market 50%
Head to Head
AWAY Vitoria Guimaraes The Market 29%
Great Team Performanceagainst Market Expectation Weak
1.57 xG Scorediddaakolik model prediction 1.16
1.00 xG Concedediddaakolik model prediction 1.37
Strong Attack Strength Bad
Weak Defense Strength Great
54% Ball Possession 46%
12 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 5
335 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 274 · 77%
18 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
25 Crosses
4 Yellow Cards 3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Sporting Braga
3W-1D-2L
AWAY Vitoria Guimaraes
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
1.41 xG 1.31
56% Ball Possession 44%
14 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 3
360 Passes 301
82% Pass Accuracy 79%
21 Box Touches 17
24 Crosses 16
3 Yellow Cards 4
15.09.2024 Sporting Braga Sporting Braga 0-2 HT 0-0 Vitoria Guimaraes Vitoria Guimaraes POR
11.05.2024 Vitoria Guimaraes Vitoria Guimaraes 2-3 HT 1-1 Sporting Braga Sporting Braga POR
06.01.2024 Sporting Braga Sporting Braga 1-1 HT 0-0 Vitoria Guimaraes Vitoria Guimaraes POR
28.02.2023 Vitoria Guimaraes Vitoria Guimaraes 2-1 HT 2-0 Sporting Braga Sporting Braga POR
11.01.2023 Sporting Braga Sporting Braga 3-2 HT 0-2 Vitoria Guimaraes Vitoria Guimaraes POK
03.09.2022 Sporting Braga Sporting Braga 1-0 HT 0-0 Vitoria Guimaraes Vitoria Guimaraes POR
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Sporting Braga
2 - 1
AWAY Vitoria Guimaraes
2.39 xG 0.56
61% Ball Possession 39%
16 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 5
418 Passes 251
86% Pass Accuracy 81%
24 Box Touches 12
21 Crosses 15
2 Yellow Cards 5
REVIEW Sporting Braga vs Vitoria Guimaraes
IDDAAKOLIK POST-MATCH REVIEW

Sporting Braga edged past Vitoria Guimaraes 2-1. It stood 1-1 at the interval — everything that mattered happened after the restart.

As we said in the preview, our model had Sporting Braga as the likeliest winner at 46%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (57%) — went the other way, though.

Under the surface, possession split 61% to 39% in Sporting Braga's favour, shots finished 16-11, expected goals 2.39 to 0.56 — on chances created, Sporting Braga won this by more than the scoreboard admits.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Sporting Braga had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Scoring in those meetings ran 1.50 a game for Sporting Braga against 1.50 for Vitoria Guimaraes.

Sporting Braga vs Vitoria Guimaraes Result & Final Score

Sporting Braga 2 - 1 Vitoria Guimaraes in the Portugal - League Cup on 31/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

Sporting Braga vs Vitoria Guimaraes Prediction vs Result

Before kick-off our model rated a Sporting Braga win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split Sporting Braga 46%, draw 29%, Vitoria Guimaraes 25%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Sporting Braga) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Sporting Braga) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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