Sporting Braga vs Vitoria Guimaraes Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Sporting Braga v Vitoria Guimaraes — Team-Based Signals
Sporting Braga vs Vitoria Guimaraes Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
2-1
HT 2-0
Sporting Braga
POR
3-2
HT 0-2
Vitoria Guimaraes
POK
1-0
HT 0-0
Vitoria Guimaraes
POR
Sporting Braga 2-1 Vitoria Guimaraes — Actual Match Statistics
Sporting Braga edged past Vitoria Guimaraes 2-1. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.
Our pre-match split (36% / 30% / 35%) promised a tight game; Sporting Braga found the edge the numbers couldn't. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (60%), no to both teams scoring (55%) — went the other way, though.
On the day, Sporting Braga had 61% of the ball to Vitoria Guimaraes's 39%, shots finished 16-11, expected goals 2.39 to 0.56 — an xG gap that size says the one-goal margin undersold Sporting Braga's control.
Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Sporting Braga had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Sporting Braga and 1.50 for Vitoria Guimaraes.
What was the final score of Sporting Braga vs Vitoria Guimaraes?
Sporting Braga 2-1 Vitoria Guimaraes in the Portugal - League Cup on 31/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Sporting Braga vs Vitoria Guimaraes?
Before kick-off our model rated a Sporting Braga win the most likely single outcome at about 36%, with the full match-result split Sporting Braga 36%, draw 30%, Vitoria Guimaraes 35%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Sporting Braga) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.