Chengdu Qianbao 1-2 Henan Jianye — Result, Statistics & Match Review — China Halk Cumhuriyeti - Super League, 31 Oct 2025

📅31/10/2025 · 🕒14:35 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 3-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
70%
1.37
Draw
16%
4.81
Away
14%
5.64
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
37%
3.14
Over 2.5
63%
1.33
Both Teams to Score
Yes
54%
1.53
No
46%
2.33
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
19%
7.26
2-3 Goals
37%
2.22
4-5 Goals
29%
2.33
6+ Goals
15%
4.11
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
43%
1.6
1/2
4%
35.0
1/X
4%
16.85
X/1
17%
4.29
X/2
7%
15.25
X/X
7%
8.94
2/1 EV+ ✗
10%
17.25
2/2
4%
10.75
2/X
4%
19.0
Value flag · 2/1 at 17.25 — our 10% vs market 3.3%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
70%
Home Win
68%
+1.5pp
16%
Draw
17%
-1.5pp
14%
Away Win
14%
+0.1pp
37%
Under 2.5
28%
+8.9pp
63%
Over 2.5
72%
-8.9pp
54%
BTTS Yes
61%
-6.8pp
46%
BTTS No
39%
+6.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Chengdu Qianbao EU Bookmakers 73%
Head to Head
AWAY Henan Jianye EU Bookmakers 18%
+0% / -6% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -10% / -10%
2.51/0.59 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.21/1.59
-9% / +51% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -19% / +13%
52% Ball Possession 48%
16 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
364 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 344 · 80%
34.1 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 20.4
24.6 Crosses 17.9
1.3 Yellow Cards 2.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Chengdu Qianbao
2W-2D-2L
AWAY Henan Jianye
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
1.16 xG 1.11
52% Ball Possession 48%
13 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
280 Passes 239
76% Pass Accuracy 73%
23 Box Touches 16
19 Crosses 17
1 Yellow Cards 3
19.08.2025 Chengdu Qianbao Chengdu Qianbao 0-0 HT 0-0 Henan Jianye Henan Jianye ÇİNK
14.06.2025 Henan Jianye Henan Jianye 3-2 HT 2-2 Chengdu Qianbao Chengdu Qianbao ÇİNSL
21.09.2024 Henan Jianye Henan Jianye 2-0 HT 1-0 Chengdu Qianbao Chengdu Qianbao ÇİNSL
10.05.2024 Chengdu Qianbao Chengdu Qianbao 4-2 HT 3-2 Henan Jianye Henan Jianye ÇİNSL
11.07.2023 Chengdu Qianbao Chengdu Qianbao 2-0 HT 0-0 Henan Jianye Henan Jianye ÇİNSL
16.04.2023 Henan Jianye Henan Jianye 1-1 HT 0-1 Chengdu Qianbao Chengdu Qianbao ÇİN
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Chengdu Qianbao
1-2
AWAY Henan Jianye
1.56 xG 0.44
57% Ball Possession 43%
20 Total Shots 10
7 Shots on Target 3
11 Corners 5
279 Passes 218
75% Pass Accuracy 71%
54 Box Touches 14
50 Crosses 12
1 Yellow Cards 5
POST-MATCH Chengdu Qianbao vs Henan Jianye
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Henan Jianye edged past Chengdu Qianbao 2-1 away from home. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

By our pre-match numbers this was an upset: we had Chengdu Qianbao at 70% and the game still went the other way. Single results are noisy — probabilities earn their keep across thousands of matches, not one. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (63%) came in.

On the day, Chengdu Qianbao had 57% of the ball to Henan Jianye's 43%, shots finished 20-10, expected goals 1.56 to 0.44 — the balance of chances actually favoured Chengdu Qianbao.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Chengdu Qianbao and 1.33 for Henan Jianye.

What was the final score of Chengdu Qianbao vs Henan Jianye?

Chengdu Qianbao 1-2 Henan Jianye in the China Halk Cumhuriyeti - Super League on 31/10/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Chengdu Qianbao vs Henan Jianye?

Before kick-off our model rated a Chengdu Qianbao win the most likely single outcome at about 70%, with the full match-result split Chengdu Qianbao 70%, draw 16%, Henan Jianye 14%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Chengdu Qianbao) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Chengdu Qianbao) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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