Afan Lido vs Caerau (Ely) Prediction — Model Probabilities
Afan Lido v Caerau (Ely) — Team-Based Signals
Afan Lido vs Caerau (Ely) Head-to-Head — Last 5 Meetings
Afan Lido shaded a tight game against Caerau (Ely) 3-2. Half-time: 1-0. A 5-goal game — the defences never settled.
File this under upsets: a 66% lean on Caerau (Ely) went begging. That's football — and exactly why we publish probabilities, not promises. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (59%), both teams to score (55%) came in.
The head-to-head backdrop: across their last 5 meetings in our records, Caerau (Ely) led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Scoring in those meetings ran 1.60 a game for Afan Lido against 2.60 for Caerau (Ely).
Afan Lido vs Caerau (Ely) Result & Final Score
Afan Lido 3 - 2 Caerau (Ely) in the Wales - FAW Championship on 31/10/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
Afan Lido vs Caerau (Ely) Prediction vs Result
Before kick-off our model rated an Caerau (Ely) win the most likely single outcome at about 66%, with the full match-result split Afan Lido 14%, draw 20%, Caerau (Ely) 66%. The final score 3-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Caerau (Ely)) went the other way.