Central Coast Mariners 1-2 Brisbane Roar — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Australia - A-League, 31 Dec 2025

Central Coast Mariners
1-2 HT 1-1
Brisbane Roar
📅31/12/2025 · 🕒11:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 ✗ 2nd Score 0-1 ✗
Australia - A-League – 2025/2026

Central Coast Mariners vs Brisbane Roar Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
33%
2.99
Draw
27%
3.28
Away
40%
2.11
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
56%
1.71
Over 2.5
44%
2.03
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.85
No
51%
1.85
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
32%
2.81
2-3 Goals
42%
1.76
4-5 Goals
17%
4.01
6+ Goals
9%
18.75
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.81 — our 32% vs market 29.3%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
14%
5.18
1/2
6%
27.5
1/X
4%
14.55
X/1
13%
6.74
X/2
11%
4.78
X/X
16%
4.43
2/1
6%
35.0
2/2
24%
3.06
2/X
6%
13.9
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
◎
Our call
Brisbane Roar win — 40%
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our call is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
💡 For the risk lovers: Away Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
33%
Home Win
30%
+3.3pp
27%
Draw
27%
-0.2pp
40%
Away Win
43%
-3.0pp
56%
Under 2.5
55%
+0.9pp
44%
Over 2.5
45%
-0.9pp
49%
BTTS Yes
50%
-1.0pp
51%
BTTS No
50%
+0.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Central Coast Mariners v Brisbane Roar — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Central Coast Mariners EU Bookmakers 33%
Head to Head
AWAY Brisbane Roar EU Bookmakers 48%
+3% / -12% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -2% / -4%
1.66/1.71 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.42/1.57
+1% / -23% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -27% / -5%
46% Ball Possession 54%
12 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
334 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 351 · 79%
23.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 28.2
18.2 Crosses 18.7
1.9 Yellow Cards 1.5

Central Coast Mariners vs Brisbane Roar Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Central Coast Mariners
4W-0D-2L
AWAY Brisbane Roar
2.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
1.60 xG 1.51
46% Ball Possession 54%
15 Total Shots 14
5 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 6
340 Passes 425
81% Pass Accuracy 85%
25 Box Touches 26
13 Crosses 16
2 Yellow Cards 3
The Meetings
02.05.2025 Central Coast Mariners Central Coast Mariners 1-2 HT 1-1 Brisbane Roar Brisbane Roar AVUS
03.01.2025 Brisbane Roar Brisbane Roar 1-3 HT 0-1 Central Coast Mariners Central Coast Mariners AVUS
27.01.2024 Central Coast Mariners Central Coast Mariners 2-0 HT 1-0 Brisbane Roar Brisbane Roar AVUS
21.12.2023 Brisbane Roar Brisbane Roar 0-3 HT 0-1 Central Coast Mariners Central Coast Mariners AVUS
12.11.2023 Central Coast Mariners Central Coast Mariners 1-2 HT 1-2 Brisbane Roar Brisbane Roar AVUS
01.04.2023 Central Coast Mariners Central Coast Mariners 4-1 HT 3-0 Brisbane Roar Brisbane Roar AVUS

Central Coast Mariners 1-2 Brisbane Roar — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Central Coast Mariners
1-2
AWAY Brisbane Roar
0.75 xG 1.93
48% Ball Possession 52%
13 Total Shots 17
1 Shots on Target 7
4 Corners 7
333 Passes 353
83% Pass Accuracy 82%
20 Box Touches 14
12 Crosses 29
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Central Coast Mariners vs Brisbane Roar
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Brisbane Roar edged past Central Coast Mariners 2-1 away from home. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match split (33% / 27% / 40%) promised a tight game; Brisbane Roar found the edge the numbers couldn't. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (56%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Central Coast Mariners had 48% of the ball to Brisbane Roar's 52%, shots finished 13-17, expected goals 0.75 to 1.93.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Central Coast Mariners had the better of it with 4 wins. Those games averaged 2.33 goals for Central Coast Mariners and 1.00 for Brisbane Roar.

What was the final score of Central Coast Mariners vs Brisbane Roar?

Central Coast Mariners 1-2 Brisbane Roar in the Australia - A-League on 31/12/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Central Coast Mariners vs Brisbane Roar?

Before kick-off our model rated an Brisbane Roar win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Central Coast Mariners 33%, draw 27%, Brisbane Roar 40%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Brisbane Roar) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Brisbane Roar) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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