Forest Green Rovers 2-1 Yeovil — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - National League, 1 Jan 2025

📅01/01/2025 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
47%
1.75
Draw
27%
3.54
Away
26%
3.83
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
57%
1.82
Over 2.5
43%
1.9
Both Teams to Score
Yes
44%
1.85
No
56%
1.85
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
30%
3.01
2-3 Goals
45%
1.72
4-5 Goals
17%
3.5
6+ Goals
8%
14.4
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.01 — our 30% vs market 26.1%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
25%
2.38
1/2
5%
34.5
1/X
8%
15.1
X/1
16%
4.03
X/2
12%
8.61
X/X
12%
4.94
2/1
6%
24.7
2/2
10%
6.81
2/X
6%
15.75
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
47%
Home Win
53%
-5.5pp
27%
Draw
25%
+2.0pp
26%
Away Win
23%
+3.4pp
57%
Under 2.5
51%
+5.8pp
43%
Over 2.5
49%
-5.8pp
44%
BTTS Yes
50%
-6.0pp
56%
BTTS No
50%
+6.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Forest Green Rovers EU Bookmakers 57%
Head to Head
AWAY Yeovil EU Bookmakers 26%
+3% / +11% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -2% / +1%
1.63/0.77 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.02/1.37
-8% / +37% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -13% / +11%
52% Ball Possession 48%
14 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
125 · 87% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 131 · 88%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
0.7 Yellow Cards 2.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Forest Green Rovers
3W-1D-1L
AWAY Yeovil
1.80 Avg Goals (FT) 1.20
59% Ball Possession 41%
11 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
16.02.2019 Forest Green Rovers Forest Green Rovers 3-0 HT 2-0 Yeovil Yeovil İN2
08.12.2018 Yeovil Yeovil 1-2 HT 0-0 Forest Green Rovers Forest Green Rovers İN2
24.04.2018 Yeovil Yeovil 0-0 HT 0-0 Forest Green Rovers Forest Green Rovers İN2
09.01.2018 Yeovil Yeovil 2-0 HT 2-0 Forest Green Rovers Forest Green Rovers İNTK
19.08.2017 Forest Green Rovers Forest Green Rovers 4-3 HT 2-3 Yeovil Yeovil İN2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Forest Green Rovers
2-1
AWAY Yeovil
0 Corners 0
0 Passes 1
POST-MATCH Forest Green Rovers vs Yeovil
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Forest Green Rovers squeezed past Yeovil 2-1. It was 0-1 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Forest Green Rovers as the likeliest winner at 47%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (57%), no to both teams scoring (56%) — went the other way, though.

Coming into the game, across their last 5 meetings in our records, Forest Green Rovers had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.80 goals for Forest Green Rovers and 1.20 for Yeovil.

What was the final score of Forest Green Rovers vs Yeovil?

Forest Green Rovers 2-1 Yeovil in the England - National League on 01/01/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Forest Green Rovers vs Yeovil?

Before kick-off our model rated a Forest Green Rovers win the most likely single outcome at about 47%, with the full match-result split Forest Green Rovers 47%, draw 27%, Yeovil 26%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Forest Green Rovers) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Forest Green Rovers) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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