Hartlepool United 2-1 Oldham Athletic — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - National League, 1 Jan 2025

📅01/01/2025 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
33%
2.67
Draw
27%
3.45
Away
40%
2.24
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
57%
1.86
Over 2.5
43%
1.86
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
1.73
No
54%
1.99
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
32%
3.05
2-3 Goals
39%
1.73
4-5 Goals
21%
3.46
6+ Goals
8%
14.0
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.05 — our 32% vs market 25.7%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
14%
4.25
1/2
10%
27.5
1/X
9%
14.2
X/1
13%
5.94
X/2
12%
4.95
X/X
10%
4.8
2/1
6%
31.5
2/2
18%
3.31
2/X
8%
14.05
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
33%
Home Win
34%
-1.1pp
27%
Draw
26%
+1.6pp
40%
Away Win
41%
-0.4pp
57%
Under 2.5
50%
+6.8pp
43%
Over 2.5
50%
-6.8pp
46%
BTTS Yes
54%
-8.0pp
54%
BTTS No
46%
+8.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Hartlepool United EU Bookmakers 37%
Head to Head
AWAY Oldham Athletic EU Bookmakers 45%
-4% / -5% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +15% / +12%
1.20/1.37 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.79/1.32
-14% / -7% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +27% / -1%
50% Ball Possession 50%
11 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 5
206 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 151 · 86%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.2 Yellow Cards 2.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Hartlepool United
0W-2D-4L
AWAY Oldham Athletic
0.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
1.04 xG 1.28
55% Ball Possession 45%
11 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 5
290 Passes 224
72% Pass Accuracy 68%
18 Box Touches 20
31 Crosses 17
1 Yellow Cards 3
30.12.2023 Oldham Athletic Oldham Athletic 2-0 HT 1-0 Hartlepool United Hartlepool United İBSL
26.12.2023 Hartlepool United Hartlepool United 1-3 HT 1-2 Oldham Athletic Oldham Athletic İBSL
01.01.2022 Hartlepool United Hartlepool United 0-0 HT 0-0 Oldham Athletic Oldham Athletic İN2
18.09.2021 Oldham Athletic Oldham Athletic 0-0 HT 0-0 Hartlepool United Hartlepool United İN2
19.03.2013 Oldham Athletic Oldham Athletic 3-0 HT 2-0 Hartlepool United Hartlepool United İN1
20.11.2012 Hartlepool United Hartlepool United 1-2 HT 0-1 Oldham Athletic Oldham Athletic İN1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Hartlepool United
2-1
AWAY Oldham Athletic
49% Ball Possession 51%
10 Total Shots 14
3 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 7
1 Passes 1
2 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Hartlepool United vs Oldham Athletic
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Hartlepool United nicked a narrow win over Oldham Athletic 2-1. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match split (33% / 27% / 40%) promised a tight game; Hartlepool United found the edge the numbers couldn't. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (57%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Hartlepool United had 49% of the ball to Oldham Athletic's 51%, shots finished 10-14.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Oldham Athletic led the recent series with 4 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.33 goals for Hartlepool United and 1.67 for Oldham Athletic.

What was the final score of Hartlepool United vs Oldham Athletic?

Hartlepool United 2-1 Oldham Athletic in the England - National League on 01/01/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Hartlepool United vs Oldham Athletic?

Before kick-off our model rated an Oldham Athletic win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Hartlepool United 33%, draw 27%, Oldham Athletic 40%. The final score 2-1 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Oldham Athletic) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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