Sutton United 1-1 Aldershot Town — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - National League, 1 Jan 2025

Sutton United
1-1 HT 1-0
Aldershot Town
📅01/01/2025 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 ✗ 2nd Score 0-0 ✗
England - National League – 2024/2025

Sutton United vs Aldershot Town Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
41%
1.89
Draw
29%
3.54
Away
30%
3.34
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
54%
2.1
Over 2.5
46%
1.67
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
1.61
No
54%
2.16
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
30%
3.89
2-3 Goals
40%
1.8
4-5 Goals
21%
2.91
6+ Goals
9%
9.11
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.89 — our 30% vs market 19.4%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
2.58
1/2
5%
34.5
1/X
9%
13.35
X/1
15%
4.59
X/2
15%
7.82
X/X
13%
5.34
2/1
7%
22.55
2/2
10%
5.41
2/X
7%
13.75
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
41%
Home Win
49%
-7.8pp
29%
Draw
25%
+4.1pp
30%
Away Win
26%
+3.6pp
54%
Under 2.5
44%
+10.4pp
46%
Over 2.5
56%
-10.4pp
46%
BTTS Yes
58%
-11.7pp
54%
BTTS No
42%
+11.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Sutton United v Aldershot Town — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Sutton United EU Bookmakers 53%
Head to Head
AWAY Aldershot Town EU Bookmakers 30%
+2% / +10% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +5% / +10%
1.55/0.87 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.33/1.60
-4% / +31% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +15% / -6%
50% Ball Possession 50%
14 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 5
243 · 69% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 324 · 76%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
1.3 Yellow Cards 2.1

Sutton United vs Aldershot Town Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Sutton United
4W-1D-1L
AWAY Aldershot Town
1.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
49% Ball Possession 51%
14 Total Shots 6
6 Shots on Target 2
6 Corners 4
2 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
01.05.2021 Sutton United Sutton United 3-1 HT 2-1 Aldershot Town Aldershot Town İBSL
06.10.2020 Aldershot Town Aldershot Town 1-2 HT 0-1 Sutton United Sutton United İBSL
26.08.2019 Aldershot Town Aldershot Town 1-1 HT 0-0 Sutton United Sutton United İBSL
29.12.2018 Sutton United Sutton United 2-1 HT 2-1 Aldershot Town Aldershot Town İBSL
27.08.2018 Aldershot Town Aldershot Town 2-1 HT 1-0 Sutton United Sutton United İBSL
28.04.2018 Sutton United Sutton United 2-1 HT 0-0 Aldershot Town Aldershot Town İBSL

Sutton United 1-1 Aldershot Town — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Sutton United
1-1
AWAY Aldershot Town
52% Ball Possession 48%
15 Total Shots 11
7 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 6
0 Passes 1
0 Yellow Cards 5
POST-MATCH Sutton United vs Aldershot Town
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Sutton United and Aldershot Town couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

Our pre-match lean was Sutton United at 41%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 46% and both teams to score was close to even at 46%.

On the day, Sutton United had 52% of the ball to Aldershot Town's 48%, shots finished 15-11.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Sutton United had the better of it with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.83 goals for Sutton United and 1.17 for Aldershot Town.

What was the final score of Sutton United vs Aldershot Town?

Sutton United 1-1 Aldershot Town in the England - National League on 01/01/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Sutton United vs Aldershot Town?

Before kick-off our model rated a Sutton United win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Sutton United 41%, draw 29%, Aldershot Town 30%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Sutton United), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Sutton United) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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