Woking 3-1 Maidenhead United — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - National League, 1 Jan 2025

📅01/01/2025 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
42%
2.05
Draw
26%
3.18
Away
32%
3.25
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
56%
1.71
Over 2.5
44%
2.03
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
1.85
No
55%
1.85
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
31%
2.68
2-3 Goals
44%
1.71
4-5 Goals
17%
3.91
6+ Goals
8%
18.55
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.68 — our 31% vs market 29.7%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
25%
2.99
1/2
8%
34.5
1/X
7%
13.55
X/1
8%
4.6
X/2
14%
6.96
X/X
10%
4.21
2/1
9%
28.0
2/2
10%
5.36
2/X
9%
14.0
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
42%
Home Win
45%
-2.7pp
26%
Draw
28%
-1.7pp
32%
Away Win
27%
+4.4pp
56%
Under 2.5
55%
+1.6pp
44%
Over 2.5
45%
-1.6pp
45%
BTTS Yes
50%
-5.2pp
55%
BTTS No
50%
+5.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Woking EU Bookmakers 49%
Head to Head
AWAY Maidenhead United EU Bookmakers 31%
-7% / -14% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -5% / -19%
1.37/1.29 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.94/1.65
-10% / -10% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -20% / -9%
54% Ball Possession 46%
10 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 5
135 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 114 · 78%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.8 Yellow Cards 1.9
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Woking
2W-2D-2L
AWAY Maidenhead United
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 0.67
55% Ball Possession 45%
12 Total Shots 6
3 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 3
2 Yellow Cards 3
23.12.2023 Woking Woking 0-0 HT 0-0 Maidenhead United Maidenhead United İBSL
02.09.2023 Maidenhead United Maidenhead United 0-0 HT 0-0 Woking Woking İBSL
11.03.2023 Woking Woking 2-0 HT 1-0 Maidenhead United Maidenhead United İBSL
17.09.2022 Maidenhead United Maidenhead United 1-0 HT 0-0 Woking Woking İBSL
12.03.2022 Woking Woking 1-0 HT 0-0 Maidenhead United Maidenhead United İBSL
23.10.2021 Maidenhead United Maidenhead United 3-2 HT 1-1 Woking Woking İBSL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Woking
3-1
AWAY Maidenhead United
55% Ball Possession 45%
9 Total Shots 15
5 Shots on Target 7
3 Corners 10
2 Passes 0
2 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Woking vs Maidenhead United
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Woking beat Maidenhead United 3-1. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Woking as the likeliest winner at 42%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (56%), no to both teams scoring (55%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Woking had 55% of the ball to Maidenhead United's 45%, shots finished 9-15.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Woking and 0.67 for Maidenhead United.

What was the final score of Woking vs Maidenhead United?

Woking 3-1 Maidenhead United in the England - National League on 01/01/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Woking vs Maidenhead United?

Before kick-off our model rated a Woking win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Woking 42%, draw 26%, Maidenhead United 32%. The final score 3-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Woking) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Woking) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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