Leamington 2-1 Hereford FC — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Conference, 1 Jan 2025

📅01/01/2025 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
34%
2.67
Draw
28%
3.35
Away
38%
2.35
Under/Over 2.5
Under Pick
55%
1.74
Over
45%
2.0
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.82
No
52%
1.88
Total Goals
0-1
31%
2.69
2-3
41%
1.71
4-5
20%
3.9
6+
8%
18.35
Value flag · 0-1 at 2.69 — our 31% vs market 29.6%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
14%
1/2
7%
1/X
7%
X/1
13%
X/2
14%
X/X
13%
2/1
7%
2/2
17%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our Pick
Under 2.5 — 55%
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our Pick is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
STRENGTH Under 2.5 — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
34%
Home Win
34%
+0.1pp
28%
Draw
27%
+1.4pp
38%
Away Win
39%
-1.4pp
55%
Under 2.5
54%
+1.4pp
45%
Over 2.5
46%
-1.4pp
48%
BTTS Yes
51%
-2.6pp
52%
BTTS No
49%
+2.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Leamington EU Bookmakers 37%
Head to Head
AWAY Hereford FC EU Bookmakers 43%
+6% / +11% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / -1%
1.60/1.14 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.36/1.14
+21% / +14% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -7% / +15%
50% Ball Possession 50%
10 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
247 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 382 · 79%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.6 Yellow Cards 1.9
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Leamington
1W-4D-1L
AWAY Hereford FC
0.50 Avg Goals (FT) 0.33
47% Ball Possession 53%
7 Total Shots 10
3 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
1 Yellow Cards 2
07.04.2023 Leamington Leamington 2-0 HT 1-0 Hereford FC Hereford FC İCON
27.09.2022 Hereford FC Hereford FC 0-0 HT 0-0 Leamington Leamington İCON
12.03.2022 Leamington Leamington 0-0 HT 0-0 Hereford FC Hereford FC İCON
25.09.2021 Hereford FC Hereford FC 1-1 HT 0-1 Leamington Leamington İCON
06.02.2021 Hereford FC Hereford FC 1-0 HT 1-0 Leamington Leamington FAK
28.12.2020 Leamington Leamington 0-0 HT 0-0 Hereford FC Hereford FC İCON
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Leamington
2-1
AWAY Hereford FC
42% Ball Possession 58%
5 Total Shots 14
3 Shots on Target 9
3 Corners 3
3 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Leamington vs Hereford FC
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Leamington edged past Hereford FC 2-1. Half-time: 1-0.

Our pre-match split (34% / 28% / 38%) promised a tight game; Leamington found the edge the numbers couldn't. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (55%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Leamington had 42% of the ball to Hereford FC's 58%, shots finished 5-14.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece, 4 drawn. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for Leamington and 0.33 for Hereford FC.

What was the final score of Leamington vs Hereford FC?

Leamington 2-1 Hereford FC in the England - Conference on 01/01/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Leamington vs Hereford FC?

Before kick-off our model rated an Hereford FC win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Leamington 34%, draw 28%, Hereford FC 38%. The final score 2-1 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Hereford FC) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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