Maidstone United 1-0 Welling United — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Conference, 1 Jan 2025

📅01/01/2025 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home Pick
53%
1.45
Draw
25%
4.08
Away
22%
5.79
Under/Over 2.5
Under
52%
1.95
Over
48%
1.78
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
1.96
No
53%
1.75
Total Goals
0-1
27%
3.37
2-3
44%
1.74
4-5
21%
3.2
6+
8%
11.6
Value flag · 0-1 at 3.37 — our 27% vs market 22.8%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
27%
1/2
6%
1/X
8%
X/1
16%
X/2
6%
X/X
10%
2/1
10%
2/2
10%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our Pick
Maidstone United win — 53%
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our Pick is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
STRENGTH Home Win — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
53%
Home Win
65%
-11.3pp
25%
Draw
21%
+3.5pp
22%
Away Win
14%
+7.8pp
52%
Under 2.5
48%
+4.2pp
48%
Over 2.5
52%
-4.2pp
47%
BTTS Yes
47%
+0.4pp
53%
BTTS No
53%
-0.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Maidstone United EU Bookmakers 69%
Head to Head
AWAY Welling United EU Bookmakers 17%
+2% / -7% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +3% / +16%
1.58/0.76 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.05/1.96
-15% / +18% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +9% / -10%
55% Ball Possession 45%
14 Total Shots 7
5 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 4
358 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 282 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.5 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Maidstone United
3W-2D-1L
AWAY Welling United
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
52% Ball Possession 49%
15 Total Shots 7
8 Shots on Target 3
8 Corners 3
1 Yellow Cards 2
01.04.2024 Maidstone United Maidstone United 1-1 HT 1-0 Welling United Welling United İCON
24.10.2023 Welling United Welling United 0-0 HT 0-0 Maidstone United Maidstone United İCON
02.05.2022 Welling United Welling United 3-2 HT 1-0 Maidstone United Maidstone United İCON
28.12.2021 Maidstone United Maidstone United 4-1 HT 2-1 Welling United Welling United İCON
06.10.2020 Maidstone United Maidstone United 2-1 HT 0-1 Welling United Welling United İCON
07.03.2020 Maidstone United Maidstone United 3-1 HT 0-0 Welling United Welling United İCON
POST-MATCH Maidstone United vs Welling United
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Maidstone United squeezed past Welling United 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we said in the preview, our model had Maidstone United as the likeliest winner at 53%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 48% and both teams to score was close to even at 47%.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Maidstone United had the better of it with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for Maidstone United and 1.17 for Welling United.

What was the final score of Maidstone United vs Welling United?

Maidstone United 1-0 Welling United in the England - Conference on 01/01/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Maidstone United vs Welling United?

Before kick-off our model rated a Maidstone United win the most likely single outcome at about 53%, with the full match-result split Maidstone United 53%, draw 25%, Welling United 22%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Maidstone United), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Maidstone United) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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