Needham Market 1-2 Peterborough Sports — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Conference, 1 Jan 2025

📅01/01/2025 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
34%
2.67
Draw
29%
3.45
Away
37%
2.24
Under/Over 2.5
Under Pick
56%
1.74
Over
44%
2.0
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
1.82
No
55%
1.88
Total Goals
0-1
30%
2.73
2-3
41%
1.71
4-5
21%
3.83
6+
8%
17.7
Value flag · 0-1 at 2.73 — our 30% vs market 29.1%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
1/2
6%
1/X
6%
X/1
11%
X/2
14%
X/X
13%
2/1
7%
2/2
18%
2/X
10%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our Pick
Under 2.5 — 56%
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our Pick is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
STRENGTH BTTS No — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
34%
Home Win
34%
-0.1pp
29%
Draw
26%
+3.8pp
37%
Away Win
41%
-3.5pp
56%
Under 2.5
54%
+2.3pp
44%
Over 2.5
46%
-2.3pp
45%
BTTS Yes
51%
-6.0pp
55%
BTTS No
49%
+6.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Needham Market EU Bookmakers 37%
Head to Head
AWAY Peterborough Sports EU Bookmakers 45%
-49% / -49% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -9% / -9%
0.00/1.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.93/1.12
-100% / +30% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -36% / +16%
48% Ball Possession 52%
10 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 5
275 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 381 · 84%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
0.0 Yellow Cards 1.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Needham Market
1W-2D-1L
AWAY Peterborough Sports
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
51% Ball Possession 49%
11 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 4
2 Yellow Cards 2
03.10.2023 Needham Market Needham Market 3-0 HT 0-0 Peterborough Sports Peterborough Sports FAK
30.09.2023 Peterborough Sports Peterborough Sports 0-0 HT 0-0 Needham Market Needham Market FAK
05.03.2022 Peterborough Sports Peterborough Sports 3-0 HT 1-0 Needham Market Needham Market İNGNLP
04.01.2022 Needham Market Needham Market 1-1 HT 0-0 Peterborough Sports Peterborough Sports İNGNLP
POST-MATCH Needham Market vs Peterborough Sports
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Peterborough Sports squeezed past Needham Market 2-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-2.

We called this one close before kick-off — 34% / 29% / 37% — and on the day Peterborough Sports made the difference. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (56%), no to both teams scoring (55%) — went the other way, though.

Coming into the game, across their last 4 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Needham Market and 1.00 for Peterborough Sports.

What was the final score of Needham Market vs Peterborough Sports?

Needham Market 1-2 Peterborough Sports in the England - Conference on 01/01/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Needham Market vs Peterborough Sports?

Before kick-off our model rated an Peterborough Sports win the most likely single outcome at about 37%, with the full match-result split Needham Market 34%, draw 29%, Peterborough Sports 37%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Peterborough Sports) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Peterborough Sports) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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