Crewe Alexandra vs Carlisle United Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Crewe Alexandra v Carlisle United — Team-Based Signals
Crewe Alexandra vs Carlisle United Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
0-3
HT 0-1
Carlisle United
İN2
0-0
HT 0-0
Crewe Alexandra
İN2
4-1
HT 4-0
Carlisle United
İN2
2-4
HT 0-2
Crewe Alexandra
İN2
2-1
HT 1-1
Carlisle United
İN2
Crewe Alexandra 3-2 Carlisle United — Actual Match Statistics
Crewe Alexandra edged past Carlisle United 3-2. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.
Just as the model leaned, our model had Crewe Alexandra as the likeliest winner at 41%, and the 3-2 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (62%), no to both teams scoring (58%) — went the other way, though.
On the day, Crewe Alexandra had 43% of the ball to Carlisle United's 57%, shots finished 18-13.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Crewe Alexandra had the better of it with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.83 goals for Crewe Alexandra and 1.33 for Carlisle United.
What was the final score of Crewe Alexandra vs Carlisle United?
Crewe Alexandra 3-2 Carlisle United in the England - 2nd Division on 01/01/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Crewe Alexandra vs Carlisle United?
Before kick-off our model rated a Crewe Alexandra win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Crewe Alexandra 41%, draw 30%, Carlisle United 28%. The final score 3-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Crewe Alexandra) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.