Notts County 1-2 Walsall — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - 2nd Division, 1 Jan 2025

Notts County
1-2 HT 1-0
Walsall
📅01/01/2025 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 ✗ 2nd Score 0-1 ✗
England - 2nd Division – 2024/2025

Notts County vs Walsall Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
34%
2.33
Draw
28%
3.35
Away
38%
2.62
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
52%
1.95
Over 2.5
48%
1.78
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.63
No
50%
2.13
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
27%
3.42
2-3 Goals
40%
1.75
4-5 Goals
22%
3.18
6+ Goals
11%
11.3
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.42 — our 27% vs market 22.5%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
3.54
1/2
8%
28.5
1/X
7%
13.05
X/1
10%
5.47
X/2
11%
5.83
X/X
11%
4.87
2/1
8%
27.5
2/2
19%
3.86
2/X
10%
13.1
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
34%
Home Win
39%
-5.4pp
28%
Draw
26%
+1.7pp
38%
Away Win
34%
+3.7pp
52%
Under 2.5
48%
+4.3pp
48%
Over 2.5
52%
-4.3pp
50%
BTTS Yes
57%
-7.3pp
50%
BTTS No
43%
+7.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Notts County v Walsall — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Notts County EU Bookmakers 43%
Head to Head
AWAY Walsall EU Bookmakers 38%
-10% / -23% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +13%
1.55/1.18 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.27/1.09
-16% / -27% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +15% / -4%
51% Ball Possession 49%
13 Total Shots 13
5 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 5
270 · 69% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 278 · 70%
22.8 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 20.1
27.5 Crosses 18.8
1.5 Yellow Cards 2.1

Notts County vs Walsall Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Notts County
2W-1D-3L
AWAY Walsall
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
1.19 xG 1.53
59% Ball Possession 41%
10 Total Shots 14
5 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 4
511 Passes 171
86% Pass Accuracy 72%
15 Box Touches 28
17 Crosses 22
1 Yellow Cards 3
The Meetings
03.12.2024 Walsall Walsall 3-2 HT 0-0 Notts County Notts County İN2
13.04.2024 Walsall Walsall 1-3 HT 0-2 Notts County Notts County İN2
09.12.2023 Notts County Notts County 1-2 HT 1-0 Walsall Walsall İN2
20.07.2019 Notts County Notts County 2-1 HT 0-1 Walsall Walsall HAZ
03.04.2015 Walsall Walsall 0-0 HT 0-0 Notts County Notts County İN1
01.11.2014 Notts County Notts County 1-2 HT 1-1 Walsall Walsall İN1

Notts County 1-2 Walsall — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Notts County
1-2
AWAY Walsall
1.99 xG 1.85
72% Ball Possession 28%
14 Total Shots 16
5 Shots on Target 7
10 Corners 8
576 Passes 160
86% Pass Accuracy 67%
17 Box Touches 32
17 Crosses 27
2 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Notts County vs Walsall
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Walsall squeezed past Notts County 2-1 away from home. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

Our pre-match split (34% / 28% / 38%) promised a tight game; Walsall found the edge the numbers couldn't.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 48% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.

On the day, Notts County had 72% of the ball to Walsall's 28%, shots finished 14-16, expected goals 1.99 to 1.85.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Walsall led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Notts County and 1.50 for Walsall.

What was the final score of Notts County vs Walsall?

Notts County 1-2 Walsall in the England - 2nd Division on 01/01/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Notts County vs Walsall?

Before kick-off our model rated an Walsall win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Notts County 34%, draw 28%, Walsall 38%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Walsall) — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Walsall) ✗ Under 2.5
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