Doncaster Rovers 2-1 Fleetwood Town — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - 2nd Division, 1 Jan 2025

📅01/01/2025 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
45%
1.72
Draw
25%
3.64
Away
30%
4.15
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
1.97
Over 2.5
50%
1.75
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.75
No
52%
1.96
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
26%
3.48
2-3 Goals
43%
1.75
4-5 Goals
21%
3.13
6+ Goals
10%
10.95
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.48 — our 26% vs market 22.0%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
21%
2.23
1/2
4%
34.5
1/X
8%
14.55
X/1
15%
4.09
X/2
10%
9.5
X/X
10%
5.29
2/1
9%
23.0
2/2
16%
7.18
2/X
7%
15.25
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
45%
Home Win
54%
-9.2pp
25%
Draw
24%
+0.3pp
30%
Away Win
21%
+8.9pp
50%
Under 2.5
47%
+3.1pp
50%
Over 2.5
53%
-3.1pp
48%
BTTS Yes
53%
-4.7pp
52%
BTTS No
47%
+4.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Doncaster Rovers EU Bookmakers 58%
Head to Head
AWAY Fleetwood Town EU Bookmakers 24%
-4% / -13% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -9% / -9%
1.90/0.73 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.45/1.60
+0% / +5% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +66% / -25%
58% Ball Possession 42%
16 Total Shots 8
6 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 4
403 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 221 · 65%
30.6 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 16.3
27.8 Crosses 17.0
1.1 Yellow Cards 2.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Doncaster Rovers
1W-1D-4L
AWAY Fleetwood Town
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
0.67 xG 1.14
51% Ball Possession 49%
8 Total Shots 12
3 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 6
280 Passes 239
68% Pass Accuracy 66%
14 Box Touches 19
14 Crosses 20
2 Yellow Cards 1
04.12.2024 Fleetwood Town Fleetwood Town 2-4 HT 2-3 Doncaster Rovers Doncaster Rovers İN2
19.03.2022 Fleetwood Town Fleetwood Town 0-0 HT 0-0 Doncaster Rovers Doncaster Rovers İN1
08.01.2022 Doncaster Rovers Doncaster Rovers 0-1 HT 0-0 Fleetwood Town Fleetwood Town İN1
24.04.2021 Doncaster Rovers Doncaster Rovers 0-1 HT 0-0 Fleetwood Town Fleetwood Town İN1
09.02.2021 Fleetwood Town Fleetwood Town 3-1 HT 0-1 Doncaster Rovers Doncaster Rovers İN1
01.02.2020 Fleetwood Town Fleetwood Town 2-1 HT 1-0 Doncaster Rovers Doncaster Rovers İN1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Doncaster Rovers
2-1
AWAY Fleetwood Town
1.04 xG 0.59
51% Ball Possession 49%
15 Total Shots 8
5 Shots on Target 2
6 Corners 7
229 Passes 201
71% Pass Accuracy 65%
18 Box Touches 19
21 Crosses 22
POST-MATCH Doncaster Rovers vs Fleetwood Town
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Doncaster Rovers squeezed past Fleetwood Town 2-1. Half-time: 1-0.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Doncaster Rovers as the likeliest winner at 45%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 50% and both teams to score was close to even at 48%.

On the day, Doncaster Rovers had 51% of the ball to Fleetwood Town's 49%, shots finished 15-8, expected goals 1.04 to 0.59.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Fleetwood Town led the recent series with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Doncaster Rovers and 1.50 for Fleetwood Town.

What was the final score of Doncaster Rovers vs Fleetwood Town?

Doncaster Rovers 2-1 Fleetwood Town in the England - 2nd Division on 01/01/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Doncaster Rovers vs Fleetwood Town?

Before kick-off our model rated a Doncaster Rovers win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split Doncaster Rovers 45%, draw 25%, Fleetwood Town 30%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Doncaster Rovers) — while BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Doncaster Rovers) ✗ BTTS No
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