Swindon Town vs Colchester Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Swindon Town v Colchester — Team-Based Signals
Swindon Town vs Colchester Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
3-1
HT 0-1
Swindon Town
İN2
1-0
HT 1-0
Swindon Town
İN2
1-0
HT 0-0
Colchester
İN2
Swindon Town 3-2 Colchester — Actual Match Statistics
Swindon Town nicked a narrow win over Colchester 3-2. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.
We called this one close before kick-off — 37% / 27% / 36% — and on the day Swindon Town made the difference.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 47% and both teams to score was close to even at 47%.
On the day, Swindon Town had 43% of the ball to Colchester's 57%, shots finished 15-6, expected goals 1.68 to 1.71.
Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Colchester led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Swindon Town and 1.83 for Colchester.
What was the final score of Swindon Town vs Colchester?
Swindon Town 3-2 Colchester in the England - 2nd Division on 01/01/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Swindon Town vs Colchester?
Before kick-off our model rated a Swindon Town win the most likely single outcome at about 37%, with the full match-result split Swindon Town 37%, draw 27%, Colchester 36%. The final score 3-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Swindon Town) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.