Queens Park Rangers 3-1 Watford — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Championship, 1 Jan 2025

📅01/01/2025 · 🕒15:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
43%
2.38
Draw
26%
3.11
Away
31%
2.69
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
51%
1.75
Over 2.5
49%
1.97
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.75
No
52%
1.96
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
27%
2.94
2-3 Goals
41%
1.74
4-5 Goals
21%
3.72
6+ Goals
11%
16.2
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
3.66
1/2
5%
32.0
1/X
8%
12.95
X/1
19%
5.41
X/2
13%
5.84
X/X
11%
4.29
2/1
9%
30.0
2/2
12%
4.08
2/X
7%
13.05
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
43%
Home Win
38%
+5.2pp
26%
Draw
28%
-2.4pp
31%
Away Win
33%
-2.8pp
51%
Under 2.5
53%
-2.0pp
49%
Over 2.5
47%
+2.0pp
48%
BTTS Yes
53%
-4.8pp
52%
BTTS No
47%
+4.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Queens Park Rangers EU Bookmakers 42%
Head to Head
AWAY Watford EU Bookmakers 37%
-5% / -17% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +2% / +4%
1.36/1.15 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.33/1.27
-11% / -20% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +4% / -2%
52% Ball Possession 48%
13 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 6
320 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 287 · 72%
24.2 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 20.7
23.0 Crosses 17.5
1.7 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Queens Park Rangers
3W-1D-2L
AWAY Watford
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
1.24 xG 0.93
43% Ball Possession 57%
12 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
267 Passes 322
73% Pass Accuracy 78%
27 Box Touches 19
24 Crosses 17
2 Yellow Cards 3
30.11.2024 Watford Watford 0-0 HT 0-0 Queens Park Rangers Queens Park Rangers İNCL
14.01.2024 Queens Park Rangers Queens Park Rangers 1-2 HT 0-0 Watford Watford İNCL
05.08.2023 Watford Watford 4-0 HT 4-0 Queens Park Rangers Queens Park Rangers İNCL
11.03.2023 Queens Park Rangers Queens Park Rangers 1-0 HT 1-0 Watford Watford İNCL
27.08.2022 Watford Watford 2-3 HT 1-2 Queens Park Rangers Queens Park Rangers İNCL
01.02.2021 Watford Watford 1-2 HT 0-0 Queens Park Rangers Queens Park Rangers İNCL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Queens Park Rangers
3-1
AWAY Watford
1.54 xG 0.67
45% Ball Possession 55%
9 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 3
2 Corners 6
225 Passes 280
77% Pass Accuracy 79%
21 Box Touches 18
13 Crosses 24
4 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Queens Park Rangers vs Watford
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Queens Park Rangers got the better of Watford 3-1. Half-time: 2-0.

As we said in the preview, our model had Queens Park Rangers as the likeliest winner at 43%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 49% and both teams to score was close to even at 48%.

On the day, Queens Park Rangers had 45% of the ball to Watford's 55%, shots finished 9-12, expected goals 1.54 to 0.67.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Queens Park Rangers had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Queens Park Rangers and 1.50 for Watford.

What was the final score of Queens Park Rangers vs Watford?

Queens Park Rangers 3-1 Watford in the England - Championship on 01/01/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Queens Park Rangers vs Watford?

Before kick-off our model rated a Queens Park Rangers win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Queens Park Rangers 43%, draw 26%, Watford 31%. The final score 3-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Queens Park Rangers) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Queens Park Rangers) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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