Plymouth Argyle 2-2 Bristol City — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Championship, 1 Jan 2025

📅01/01/2025 · 🕒15:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
31%
4.04
Draw
26%
3.64
Away
43%
1.71
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
47%
2.0
Over 2.5
53%
1.74
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
1.73
No
47%
1.99
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
23%
3.61
2-3 Goals
40%
1.79
4-5 Goals
24%
3.16
6+ Goals
13%
10.95
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
7.09
1/2
7%
23.0
1/X
8%
15.15
X/1
7%
9.46
X/2
16%
4.12
X/X
10%
5.32
2/1 EV+ ✗
8%
34.5
2/2
20%
2.24
2/X
8%
14.5
Value flag · 2/1 at 34.5 — our 8% vs market 1.1%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
31%
Home Win
22%
+9.5pp
26%
Draw
24%
+1.5pp
43%
Away Win
54%
-11.1pp
47%
Under 2.5
46%
+1.0pp
53%
Over 2.5
54%
-1.0pp
53%
BTTS Yes
54%
-1.2pp
47%
BTTS No
46%
+1.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Plymouth Argyle EU Bookmakers 25%
Head to Head
AWAY Bristol City EU Bookmakers 58%
+13% / +18% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +19% / +19%
1.07/1.72 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.01/1.30
+80% / -9% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +2% / +20%
45% Ball Possession 55%
11 Total Shots 14
5 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 5
258 · 69% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 347 · 77%
20.1 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 24.5
16.0 Crosses 21.2
1.9 Yellow Cards 1.9
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Plymouth Argyle
2W-0D-4L
AWAY Bristol City
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 2.67
0.39 xG 2.03
44% Ball Possession 56%
6 Total Shots 16
3 Shots on Target 7
3 Corners 7
332 Passes 374
75% Pass Accuracy 78%
14 Box Touches 36
13 Crosses 22
2 Yellow Cards 2
30.11.2024 Bristol City Bristol City 4-0 HT 0-0 Plymouth Argyle Plymouth Argyle İNCL
01.04.2024 Plymouth Argyle Plymouth Argyle 0-1 HT 0-0 Bristol City Bristol City İNCL
19.09.2023 Bristol City Bristol City 4-1 HT 3-1 Plymouth Argyle Plymouth Argyle İNCL
14.08.2018 Bristol City Bristol City 0-1 HT 0-1 Plymouth Argyle Plymouth Argyle İNLK
08.08.2017 Bristol City Bristol City 5-0 HT 4-0 Plymouth Argyle Plymouth Argyle İNLK
16.03.2010 Plymouth Argyle Plymouth Argyle 3-2 HT 2-0 Bristol City Bristol City İNCL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Plymouth Argyle
2-2
AWAY Bristol City
1.64 xG 1.68
56% Ball Possession 44%
15 Total Shots 14
7 Shots on Target 6
1 Corners 6
366 Passes 252
82% Pass Accuracy 74%
16 Box Touches 30
13 Crosses 18
1 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Plymouth Argyle vs Bristol City
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Plymouth Argyle and Bristol City shared the points in a 2-2 draw. Half-time: 0-1.

Our pre-match lean was Bristol City at 43%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 53% and both teams to score was close to even at 53%.

On the day, Plymouth Argyle had 56% of the ball to Bristol City's 44%, shots finished 15-14, expected goals 1.64 to 1.68.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Bristol City led the recent series with 4 wins. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Plymouth Argyle and 2.67 for Bristol City.

What was the final score of Plymouth Argyle vs Bristol City?

Plymouth Argyle 2-2 Bristol City in the England - Championship on 01/01/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Plymouth Argyle vs Bristol City?

Before kick-off our model rated an Bristol City win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Plymouth Argyle 31%, draw 26%, Bristol City 43%. The final score 2-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Bristol City) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Bristol City) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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