Bristol City 4-0 Plymouth Argyle — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Championship, 30 Nov 2024

📅30/11/2024 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-0 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
58%
1.42
Draw
23%
4.34
Away
19%
6.38
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
48%
2.15
Over 2.5
52%
1.64
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.95
No
51%
1.76
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
23%
4.13
2-3 Goals
41%
1.87
4-5 Goals
24%
3.11
6+ Goals
12%
9.89
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
31%
1.82
1/2
5%
34.5
1/X
5%
22.1
X/1
13%
3.97
X/2
7%
17.35
X/X
11%
7.54
2/1
14%
26.0
2/2
8%
13.85
2/X
6%
23.0
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
58%
Home Win
67%
-8.6pp
23%
Draw
20%
+2.6pp
19%
Away Win
13%
+6.0pp
48%
Under 2.5
43%
+5.6pp
52%
Over 2.5
57%
-5.7pp
49%
BTTS Yes
47%
+1.9pp
51%
BTTS No
53%
-1.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Bristol City EU Bookmakers 70%
Head to Head
AWAY Plymouth Argyle EU Bookmakers 16%
+7% / +6% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -3% / -5%
1.70/1.16 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.68/1.96
-1% / -3% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -29% / -12%
58% Ball Possession 42%
14 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 4
8 Corners 3
464 · 85% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 262 · 74%
27.3 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 14.3
25.9 Crosses 9.1
1.8 Yellow Cards 2.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Bristol City
4W-0D-2L
AWAY Plymouth Argyle
2.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
1.44 xG 0.50
54% Ball Possession 46%
14 Total Shots 8
6 Shots on Target 4
8 Corners 3
324 Passes 404
76% Pass Accuracy 80%
30 Box Touches 17
20 Crosses 13
3 Yellow Cards 2
01.04.2024 Plymouth Argyle Plymouth Argyle 0-1 HT 0-0 Bristol City Bristol City İNCL
19.09.2023 Bristol City Bristol City 4-1 HT 3-1 Plymouth Argyle Plymouth Argyle İNCL
14.08.2018 Bristol City Bristol City 0-1 HT 0-1 Plymouth Argyle Plymouth Argyle İNLK
08.08.2017 Bristol City Bristol City 5-0 HT 4-0 Plymouth Argyle Plymouth Argyle İNLK
16.03.2010 Plymouth Argyle Plymouth Argyle 3-2 HT 2-0 Bristol City Bristol City İNCL
20.10.2009 Bristol City Bristol City 3-1 HT 0-0 Plymouth Argyle Plymouth Argyle İNCL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Bristol City
4-0
AWAY Plymouth Argyle
3.20 xG 0.18
66% Ball Possession 34%
24 Total Shots 4
12 Shots on Target 2
5 Corners 2
476 Passes 188
82% Pass Accuracy 64%
49 Box Touches 9
25 Crosses 12
1 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Bristol City vs Plymouth Argyle
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Bristol City swept aside Plymouth Argyle 4-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Bristol City as the likeliest winner at 58%, and the 4-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 52% and both teams to score was close to even at 49%.

On the day, Bristol City had 66% of the ball to Plymouth Argyle's 34%, shots finished 24-4, expected goals 3.20 to 0.18.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Bristol City had the better of it with 4 wins. Those games averaged 2.50 goals for Bristol City and 1.00 for Plymouth Argyle.

What was the final score of Bristol City vs Plymouth Argyle?

Bristol City 4-0 Plymouth Argyle in the England - Championship on 30/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Bristol City vs Plymouth Argyle?

Before kick-off our model rated a Bristol City win the most likely single outcome at about 58%, with the full match-result split Bristol City 58%, draw 23%, Plymouth Argyle 19%. The final score 4-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Bristol City), Over 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Bristol City) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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