Oxford United 1-1 Millwall — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Championship, 30 Nov 2024

Oxford United
1-1 HT 0-1
Millwall
📅30/11/2024 · 🕒15:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 ✓ 2nd Score 0-1 ✗
England - Championship – 2024/2025

Oxford United vs Millwall Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
27%
3.29
Draw
28%
3.18
Away
45%
2.03
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
56%
1.56
Over 2.5
44%
2.29
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
2.06
No
51%
1.68
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
29%
2.42
2-3 Goals
40%
1.8
4-5 Goals
23%
5.08
6+ Goals
8%
30.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
13%
6.25
1/2
9%
34.5
1/X
8%
17.8
X/1
8%
7.43
X/2
23%
4.68
X/X
10%
4.45
2/1
6%
34.5
2/2
13%
3.29
2/X
10%
17.25
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
28%
Home Win
27%
+0.7pp
28%
Draw
28%
-0.3pp
45%
Away Win
45%
-0.4pp
56%
Under 2.5
60%
-3.7pp
44%
Over 2.5
40%
+3.7pp
48%
BTTS Yes
44%
+4.0pp
52%
BTTS No
56%
-4.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Oxford United v Millwall — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Oxford United EU Bookmakers 30%
Head to Head
AWAY Millwall EU Bookmakers 49%
+24% / +24% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -11% / -16%
0.86/1.33 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.38/1.20
-9% / +150% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -31% / -10%
49% Ball Possession 51%
10 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 6
250 · 71% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 255 · 71%
15.4 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 22.0
10.1 Crosses 18.0
1.0 Yellow Cards 2.5

Oxford United vs Millwall Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Oxford United
2W-1D-3L
AWAY Millwall
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
1.37 xG 2.03
50% Ball Possession 50%
9 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
267 Passes 325
76% Pass Accuracy 80%
15 Box Touches 23
22 Crosses 26
4 Yellow Cards 0
The Meetings
27.08.2019 Oxford United Oxford United 2-2 HT 0-1 Millwall Millwall İNLK
22.04.2017 Millwall Millwall 0-3 HT 0-2 Oxford United Oxford United İN1
29.10.2016 Oxford United Oxford United 1-2 HT 1-1 Millwall Millwall İN1
02.02.2016 Oxford United Oxford United 0-1 HT 0-0 Millwall Millwall İNTK
14.01.2016 Millwall Millwall 0-2 HT 0-2 Oxford United Oxford United İNTK
24.02.2001 Oxford United Oxford United 0-2 HT 0-2 Millwall Millwall İN1

Oxford United 1-1 Millwall — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Oxford United
1-1
AWAY Millwall
0.90 xG 0.88
51% Ball Possession 49%
8 Total Shots 11
3 Shots on Target 3
2 Corners 11
245 Passes 214
70% Pass Accuracy 67%
11 Box Touches 27
10 Crosses 28
0 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Oxford United vs Millwall
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Oxford United and Millwall couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. Half-time: 0-1.

Our pre-match lean was Millwall at 45%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (56%) came in.

On the day, Oxford United had 51% of the ball to Millwall's 49%, shots finished 8-11, expected goals 0.90 to 0.88.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Millwall led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Oxford United and 1.17 for Millwall.

What was the final score of Oxford United vs Millwall?

Oxford United 1-1 Millwall in the England - Championship on 30/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Oxford United vs Millwall?

Before kick-off our model rated an Millwall win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split Oxford United 28%, draw 28%, Millwall 45%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Millwall), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Millwall) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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