Swansea City 2-2 Portsmouth — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Championship, 30 Nov 2024

📅30/11/2024 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
48%
1.8
Draw
28%
3.54
Away
24%
3.71
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
55%
1.86
Over 2.5
45%
1.86
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
1.81
No
55%
1.9
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
28%
3.28
2-3 Goals
41%
1.8
4-5 Goals
22%
3.67
6+ Goals
9%
14.95
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.28 — our 28% vs market 25.3%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
25%
2.65
1/2
6%
34.5
1/X
7%
16.3
X/1
17%
4.6
X/2
8%
9.37
X/X
16%
5.42
2/1
6%
28.0
2/2
9%
7.24
2/X
6%
17.05
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
48%
Home Win
52%
-3.4pp
28%
Draw
25%
+3.4pp
24%
Away Win
24%
+0.0pp
55%
Under 2.5
50%
+5.4pp
45%
Over 2.5
50%
-5.4pp
45%
BTTS Yes
51%
-6.4pp
55%
BTTS No
49%
+6.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Swansea City EU Bookmakers 56%
Head to Head
AWAY Portsmouth EU Bookmakers 27%
+1% / +8% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -5% / -4%
1.61/0.84 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.04/1.68
+8% / +10% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -10% / -46%
57% Ball Possession 43%
14 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
454 · 83% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 288 · 75%
22.8 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 24.2
19.6 Crosses 15.6
1.7 Yellow Cards 1.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Swansea City
1W-1D-1L
AWAY Portsmouth
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.67
10 Total Shots 7
6 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 5
23.04.2011 Portsmouth Portsmouth 0-0 HT 0-0 Swansea City Swansea City İNCL
26.11.2010 Swansea City Swansea City 1-2 HT 1-1 Portsmouth Portsmouth İNCL
24.01.2009 Portsmouth Portsmouth 0-2 HT 0-2 Swansea City Swansea City FAK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Swansea City
2-2
AWAY Portsmouth
74% Ball Possession 26%
22 Total Shots 6
6 Shots on Target 4
9 Corners 1
485 Passes 129
86% Pass Accuracy 63%
POST-MATCH Swansea City vs Portsmouth
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Swansea City and Portsmouth shared the points in a 2-2 draw. Half-time: 1-2.

Our pre-match lean was Swansea City at 48%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (55%), no to both teams scoring (55%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Swansea City had 74% of the ball to Portsmouth's 26%, shots finished 22-6.

Coming into the game, across their last 3 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Swansea City and 0.67 for Portsmouth.

What was the final score of Swansea City vs Portsmouth?

Swansea City 2-2 Portsmouth in the England - Championship on 30/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Swansea City vs Portsmouth?

Before kick-off our model rated a Swansea City win the most likely single outcome at about 48%, with the full match-result split Swansea City 48%, draw 28%, Portsmouth 24%. The final score 2-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Swansea City) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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