Middlesbrough 3-1 Hull City — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Championship, 30 Nov 2024

📅30/11/2024 · 🕒15:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
50%
1.64
Draw
25%
3.8
Away
25%
4.15
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
49%
2.18
Over 2.5
51%
1.62
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.66
No
49%
2.09
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
24%
4.35
2-3 Goals
44%
1.89
4-5 Goals
22%
3.02
6+ Goals
10%
9.15
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 4.35 — our 24% vs market 18.4%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
21%
2.28
1/2
6%
34.5
1/X
10%
16.9
X/1
17%
4.53
X/2
7%
11.3
X/X
10%
6.62
2/1
12%
24.3
2/2
12%
8.13
2/X
5%
17.5
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
50%
Home Win
56%
-6.4pp
25%
Draw
23%
+2.3pp
25%
Away Win
21%
+4.1pp
49%
Under 2.5
42%
+6.5pp
51%
Over 2.5
58%
-6.5pp
51%
BTTS Yes
56%
-5.7pp
49%
BTTS No
44%
+5.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Middlesbrough EU Bookmakers 61%
Head to Head
AWAY Hull City EU Bookmakers 24%
-5% / -5% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +3% / +13%
1.63/0.92 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.02/1.40
-10% / +1% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +3% / -7%
53% Ball Possession 47%
16 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 5
392 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 321 · 77%
29.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 17.8
20.4 Crosses 15.6
1.8 Yellow Cards 2.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Middlesbrough
2W-1D-3L
AWAY Hull City
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
1.41 xG 0.91
52% Ball Possession 48%
14 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
414 Passes 388
82% Pass Accuracy 80%
27 Box Touches 18
16 Crosses 14
2 Yellow Cards 2
10.04.2024 Hull City Hull City 2-2 HT 2-1 Middlesbrough Middlesbrough İNCL
13.12.2023 Middlesbrough Middlesbrough 1-2 HT 1-0 Hull City Hull City İNCL
19.04.2023 Middlesbrough Middlesbrough 3-1 HT 0-1 Hull City Hull City İNCL
01.11.2022 Hull City Hull City 1-3 HT 0-1 Middlesbrough Middlesbrough İNCL
09.04.2022 Middlesbrough Middlesbrough 0-1 HT 0-0 Hull City Hull City İNCL
02.10.2021 Hull City Hull City 2-0 HT 0-0 Middlesbrough Middlesbrough İNCL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Middlesbrough
3-1
AWAY Hull City
1.84 xG 1.21
44% Ball Possession 56%
21 Total Shots 10
8 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 6
345 Passes 446
87% Pass Accuracy 88%
37 Box Touches 12
18 Crosses 25
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Middlesbrough vs Hull City
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Middlesbrough beat Hull City 3-1. Half-time: 2-0.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Middlesbrough as the likeliest winner at 50%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 51% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.

On the day, Middlesbrough had 44% of the ball to Hull City's 56%, shots finished 21-10, expected goals 1.84 to 1.21.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Hull City led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Middlesbrough and 1.50 for Hull City.

What was the final score of Middlesbrough vs Hull City?

Middlesbrough 3-1 Hull City in the England - Championship on 30/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Middlesbrough vs Hull City?

Before kick-off our model rated a Middlesbrough win the most likely single outcome at about 50%, with the full match-result split Middlesbrough 50%, draw 25%, Hull City 25%. The final score 3-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Middlesbrough), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Middlesbrough) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
İNCL More England - Championship
30 Nov 2024
15:30 Watford vs Queens Park Rangers Analysis →
15:30 Oxford United vs Millwall Analysis →
16:30 Blackburn Rovers vs Leeds United Analysis →
18:00 Bristol City vs Plymouth Argyle Analysis →
18:00 Coventry vs Cardiff City Analysis →
18:00 Swansea City vs Portsmouth Analysis →