Blackburn Rovers 1-0 Leeds United — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Championship, 30 Nov 2024

📅30/11/2024 · 🕒16:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
28%
4.04
Draw
28%
3.64
Away
44%
1.69
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
49%
1.78
Over 2.5
51%
1.95
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.95
No
51%
1.76
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
27%
3.04
2-3 Goals
40%
1.79
4-5 Goals
23%
3.94
6+ Goals
10%
17.55
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
12%
8.35
1/2
10%
28.0
1/X
10%
19.15
X/1
9%
10.15
X/2
14%
4.22
X/X
10%
5.55
2/1
7%
34.5
2/2
20%
2.47
2/X
8%
18.3
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
28%
Home Win
21%
+7.2pp
28%
Draw
24%
+4.0pp
44%
Away Win
55%
-11.1pp
49%
Under 2.5
52%
-2.9pp
51%
Over 2.5
48%
+2.9pp
49%
BTTS Yes
47%
+2.1pp
51%
BTTS No
53%
-2.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Blackburn Rovers EU Bookmakers 25%
Head to Head
AWAY Leeds United EU Bookmakers 59%
-8% / -17% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -7% / -1%
0.99/1.51 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.78/0.69
-39% / -16% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -7% / -1%
47% Ball Possession 53%
9 Total Shots 14
3 Shots on Target 6
3 Corners 5
283 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 380 · 80%
23.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 28.6
16.6 Crosses 17.4
2.3 Yellow Cards 1.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Blackburn Rovers
1W-1D-4L
AWAY Leeds United
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.83
0.62 xG 1.61
36% Ball Possession 64%
7 Total Shots 16
2 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 6
197 Passes 417
62% Pass Accuracy 81%
14 Box Touches 31
10 Crosses 22
2 Yellow Cards 1
13.04.2024 Leeds United Leeds United 0-1 HT 0-0 Blackburn Rovers Blackburn Rovers İNCL
09.12.2023 Blackburn Rovers Blackburn Rovers 0-2 HT 0-1 Leeds United Leeds United İNCL
28.07.2021 Blackburn Rovers Blackburn Rovers 1-1 Leeds United Leeds United HAZ
04.07.2020 Blackburn Rovers Blackburn Rovers 1-3 HT 0-2 Leeds United Leeds United İNCL
09.11.2019 Leeds United Leeds United 2-1 HT 2-1 Blackburn Rovers Blackburn Rovers İNCL
26.12.2018 Leeds United Leeds United 3-2 HT 1-0 Blackburn Rovers Blackburn Rovers İNCL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Blackburn Rovers
1-0
AWAY Leeds United
2.17 xG 1.41
29% Ball Possession 71%
11 Total Shots 13
2 Shots on Target 5
3 Corners 9
145 Passes 474
67% Pass Accuracy 88%
18 Box Touches 23
14 Crosses 37
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Blackburn Rovers vs Leeds United
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Blackburn Rovers squeezed past Leeds United 1-0.

Our pre-match lean was Leeds United at 44%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 51% and both teams to score was close to even at 49%.

On the day, Blackburn Rovers had 29% of the ball to Leeds United's 71%, shots finished 11-13, expected goals 2.17 to 1.41.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Leeds United led the recent series with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Blackburn Rovers and 1.83 for Leeds United.

What was the final score of Blackburn Rovers vs Leeds United?

Blackburn Rovers 1-0 Leeds United in the England - Championship on 30/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Blackburn Rovers vs Leeds United?

Before kick-off our model rated an Leeds United win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Blackburn Rovers 28%, draw 28%, Leeds United 44%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS No — while Match Result (Leeds United), Over 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Leeds United) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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