Coventry 2-2 Cardiff City — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Championship, 30 Nov 2024

📅30/11/2024 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
49%
1.72
Draw
27%
3.72
Away
24%
4.15
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
51%
1.95
Over 2.5
49%
1.78
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
1.81
No
53%
1.9
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
29%
3.5
2-3 Goals
40%
1.82
4-5 Goals
21%
3.48
6+ Goals
10%
13.15
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.5 — our 29% vs market 23.5%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
2.44
1/2
7%
34.5
1/X
6%
17.4
X/1
23%
4.39
X/2
6%
10.3
X/X
13%
5.93
2/1
10%
26.5
2/2
10%
7.96
2/X
9%
18.1
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
49%
Home Win
55%
-5.4pp
27%
Draw
24%
+2.9pp
24%
Away Win
21%
+2.6pp
51%
Under 2.5
48%
+3.7pp
49%
Over 2.5
52%
-3.8pp
47%
BTTS Yes
51%
-4.1pp
53%
BTTS No
49%
+4.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Coventry EU Bookmakers 58%
Head to Head
AWAY Cardiff City EU Bookmakers 24%
-17% / -29% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +8% / -1%
1.51/0.83 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.89/1.40
-24% / -30% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -8% / +12%
56% Ball Possession 44%
14 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 4
386 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 246 · 72%
27.9 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 15.7
24.3 Crosses 14.4
1.5 Yellow Cards 2.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Coventry
2W-1D-3L
AWAY Cardiff City
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
1.16 xG 0.71
58% Ball Possession 42%
12 Total Shots 10
3 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 5
424 Passes 272
79% Pass Accuracy 72%
21 Box Touches 16
20 Crosses 16
2 Yellow Cards 1
01.04.2024 Coventry Coventry 1-2 HT 1-1 Cardiff City Cardiff City İNCL
19.09.2023 Cardiff City Cardiff City 3-2 HT 1-1 Coventry Coventry İNCL
29.12.2022 Coventry Coventry 0-0 HT 0-0 Cardiff City Cardiff City İNCL
15.10.2022 Cardiff City Cardiff City 0-1 HT 0-1 Coventry Coventry İNCL
15.02.2022 Cardiff City Cardiff City 2-0 HT 0-0 Coventry Coventry İNCL
15.09.2021 Coventry Coventry 1-0 HT 1-0 Cardiff City Cardiff City İNCL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Coventry
2-2
AWAY Cardiff City
63% Ball Possession 37%
12 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 1
474 Passes 254
84% Pass Accuracy 76%
POST-MATCH Coventry vs Cardiff City
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Coventry and Cardiff City couldn't be separated, finishing 2-2. Half-time: 1-1.

Our pre-match lean was Coventry at 49%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 49% and both teams to score was close to even at 47%.

On the day, Coventry had 63% of the ball to Cardiff City's 37%, shots finished 12-10.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Cardiff City led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Coventry and 1.17 for Cardiff City.

What was the final score of Coventry vs Cardiff City?

Coventry 2-2 Cardiff City in the England - Championship on 30/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Coventry vs Cardiff City?

Before kick-off our model rated a Coventry win the most likely single outcome at about 49%, with the full match-result split Coventry 49%, draw 27%, Cardiff City 24%. The final score 2-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Coventry) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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