Plymouth Argyle 0-1 Bristol City — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Championship, 1 Apr 2024

📅01/04/2024 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
37%
2.67
Draw
25%
3.11
Away
38%
2.39
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
56%
1.78
Over 2.5
44%
1.95
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
1.75
No
54%
1.96
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✓
30%
3.07
2-3 Goals
38%
1.78
4-5 Goals
22%
3.81
6+ Goals
10%
16.55
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.07 — our 30% vs market 26.9%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
4.15
1/2
8%
29.0
1/X
8%
12.9
X/1
12%
5.93
X/2
9%
5.26
X/X
11%
4.27
2/1
6%
32.0
2/2
21%
3.5
2/X
6%
12.8
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
37%
Home Win
34%
+3.7pp
25%
Draw
28%
-3.3pp
38%
Away Win
38%
-0.4pp
56%
Under 2.5
52%
+3.3pp
44%
Over 2.5
48%
-3.3pp
46%
BTTS Yes
53%
-7.3pp
54%
BTTS No
47%
+7.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Plymouth Argyle EU Bookmakers 37%
Head to Head
AWAY Bristol City EU Bookmakers 42%
+3% / +8% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -9% / -11%
1.36/1.52 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.13/1.09
+58% / -10% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -28% / +0%
43% Ball Possession 57%
10 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
260 · 72% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 407 · 78%
26.2 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 19.9
16.0 Crosses 18.1
2.1 Yellow Cards 1.9
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Plymouth Argyle
2W-0D-4L
AWAY Bristol City
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.67
0.58 xG 1.61
44% Ball Possession 56%
7 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 6
2 Corners 8
454 Passes 313
81% Pass Accuracy 74%
13 Box Touches 29
5 Crosses 19
0 Yellow Cards 3
19.09.2023 Bristol City Bristol City 4-1 HT 3-1 Plymouth Argyle Plymouth Argyle İNCL
14.08.2018 Bristol City Bristol City 0-1 HT 0-1 Plymouth Argyle Plymouth Argyle İNLK
08.08.2017 Bristol City Bristol City 5-0 HT 4-0 Plymouth Argyle Plymouth Argyle İNLK
16.03.2010 Plymouth Argyle Plymouth Argyle 3-2 HT 2-0 Bristol City Bristol City İNCL
20.10.2009 Bristol City Bristol City 3-1 HT 0-0 Plymouth Argyle Plymouth Argyle İNCL
27.01.2009 Plymouth Argyle Plymouth Argyle 0-2 HT 0-0 Bristol City Bristol City İNCL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Plymouth Argyle
0-1
AWAY Bristol City
0.42 xG 1.27
51% Ball Possession 49%
12 Total Shots 14
2 Shots on Target 6
9 Corners 6
353 Passes 334
79% Pass Accuracy 79%
21 Box Touches 30
21 Crosses 21
3 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Plymouth Argyle vs Bristol City
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Bristol City nicked a narrow win over Plymouth Argyle 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match split (37% / 25% / 38%) promised a tight game; Bristol City found the edge the numbers couldn't. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (56%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Plymouth Argyle had 51% of the ball to Bristol City's 49%, shots finished 12-14, expected goals 0.42 to 1.27.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Bristol City led the recent series with 4 wins. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Plymouth Argyle and 2.67 for Bristol City.

What was the final score of Plymouth Argyle vs Bristol City?

Plymouth Argyle 0-1 Bristol City in the England - Championship on 01/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Plymouth Argyle vs Bristol City?

Before kick-off our model rated an Bristol City win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Plymouth Argyle 37%, draw 25%, Bristol City 38%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Bristol City), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Bristol City) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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