Burnley 0-0 Stoke City — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Championship, 1 Jan 2025

Burnley
0-0 HT 0-0
Stoke City
📅01/01/2025 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 ✗ 2nd Score 0-0 ✓
England - Championship – 2024/2025

Burnley vs Stoke City Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
50%
1.53
Draw
27%
3.94
Away
23%
5.27
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
57%
1.9
Over 2.5
43%
1.82
Both Teams to Score
Yes
42%
1.96
No
58%
1.75
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✓
32%
3.18
2-3 Goals
39%
1.75
4-5 Goals
20%
3.48
6+ Goals
9%
13.85
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.18 — our 32% vs market 25.0%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
24%
1.93
1/2
8%
34.5
1/X
5%
17.5
X/1
17%
3.62
X/2
7%
12.0
X/X
14%
5.45
2/1
9%
24.3
2/2
8%
10.0
2/X
8%
18.5
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
50%
Home Win
62%
-11.3pp
27%
Draw
22%
+4.1pp
23%
Away Win
16%
+7.0pp
57%
Under 2.5
49%
+7.9pp
43%
Over 2.5
51%
-7.9pp
42%
BTTS Yes
47%
-5.0pp
58%
BTTS No
53%
+5.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Burnley v Stoke City — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Burnley EU Bookmakers 66%
Head to Head
AWAY Stoke City EU Bookmakers 19%
+2% / -6% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -1% / -7%
1.47/0.69 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.04/1.75
-7% / +53% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -7% / +0%
59% Ball Possession 41%
15 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 5
389 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 243 · 71%
26.5 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 17.2
23.7 Crosses 16.8
1.7 Yellow Cards 2.4

Burnley vs Stoke City Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Burnley
4W-2D-0L
AWAY Stoke City
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 0.33
0.79 xG 0.73
57% Ball Possession 43%
12 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 4
353 Passes 224
75% Pass Accuracy 65%
19 Box Touches 15
20 Crosses 16
2 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
30.11.2024 Stoke City Stoke City 0-2 HT 0-0 Burnley Burnley İNCL
30.12.2022 Stoke City Stoke City 0-1 HT 0-0 Burnley Burnley İNCL
05.10.2022 Burnley Burnley 1-1 HT 0-0 Stoke City Stoke City İNCL
22.04.2018 Stoke City Stoke City 1-1 HT 1-0 Burnley Burnley İNP
12.12.2017 Burnley Burnley 1-0 HT 0-0 Stoke City Stoke City İNP
04.04.2017 Burnley Burnley 1-0 HT 0-0 Stoke City Stoke City İNP

Burnley 0-0 Stoke City — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Burnley
0-0
AWAY Stoke City
1.46 xG 1.26
67% Ball Possession 33%
18 Total Shots 14
2 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 2
438 Passes 143
83% Pass Accuracy 64%
37 Box Touches 25
26 Crosses 13
1 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Burnley vs Stoke City
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Burnley and Stoke City played out a goalless draw. Neither side could find a way through.

Our pre-match lean was Burnley at 50%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (57%), no to both teams scoring (58%) came in.

On the day, Burnley had 67% of the ball to Stoke City's 33%, shots finished 18-14, expected goals 1.46 to 1.26.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Burnley had the better of it with 4 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Burnley and 0.33 for Stoke City.

What was the final score of Burnley vs Stoke City?

Burnley 0-0 Stoke City in the England - Championship on 01/01/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Burnley vs Stoke City?

Before kick-off our model rated a Burnley win the most likely single outcome at about 50%, with the full match-result split Burnley 50%, draw 27%, Stoke City 23%. The final score 0-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Burnley) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Burnley) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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