Stoke City 0-2 Burnley — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Championship, 30 Nov 2024

📅30/11/2024 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
32%
2.84
Draw
25%
3.11
Away
43%
2.24
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
58%
1.62
Over 2.5
42%
2.18
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
1.95
No
55%
1.76
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
34%
2.6
2-3 Goals
38%
1.79
4-5 Goals
20%
4.64
6+ Goals
8%
25.0
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
14%
5.27
1/2
7%
34.5
1/X
6%
16.1
X/1
11%
6.78
X/2
15%
5.27
X/X
11%
4.45
2/1
7%
34.5
2/2
21%
3.7
2/X
8%
15.85
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
31%
Home Win
31%
+0.1pp
25%
Draw
28%
-3.0pp
43%
Away Win
40%
+3.0pp
58%
Under 2.5
58%
-0.3pp
42%
Over 2.5
42%
+0.3pp
45%
BTTS Yes
47%
-2.0pp
55%
BTTS No
53%
+2.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Stoke City EU Bookmakers 35%
Head to Head
AWAY Burnley EU Bookmakers 45%
-4% / -15% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +22% / +31%
1.20/1.19 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.11/0.82
-24% / +4% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +31% / +85%
48% Ball Possession 52%
11 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
295 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 344 · 79%
19.1 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 18.7
21.0 Crosses 14.8
1.9 Yellow Cards 2.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Stoke City
1W-2D-3L
AWAY Burnley
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 0.83
0.73 xG 0.79
45% Ball Possession 55%
10 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 8
234 Passes 329
65% Pass Accuracy 73%
15 Box Touches 19
16 Crosses 20
2 Yellow Cards 2
30.12.2022 Stoke City Stoke City 0-1 HT 0-0 Burnley Burnley İNCL
05.10.2022 Burnley Burnley 1-1 HT 0-0 Stoke City Stoke City İNCL
22.04.2018 Stoke City Stoke City 1-1 HT 1-0 Burnley Burnley İNP
12.12.2017 Burnley Burnley 1-0 HT 0-0 Stoke City Stoke City İNP
04.04.2017 Burnley Burnley 1-0 HT 0-0 Stoke City Stoke City İNP
03.12.2016 Stoke City Stoke City 2-0 HT 2-0 Burnley Burnley İNP
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Stoke City
0-2
AWAY Burnley
44% Ball Possession 56%
14 Total Shots 16
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
291 Passes 389
77% Pass Accuracy 82%
POST-MATCH Stoke City vs Burnley
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Burnley beat Stoke City 2-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Burnley as the likeliest winner at 43%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (58%), no to both teams scoring (55%) came in.

On the day, Stoke City had 44% of the ball to Burnley's 56%, shots finished 14-16.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Burnley led the recent series with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Stoke City and 0.83 for Burnley.

What was the final score of Stoke City vs Burnley?

Stoke City 0-2 Burnley in the England - Championship on 30/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Stoke City vs Burnley?

Before kick-off our model rated an Burnley win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Stoke City 31%, draw 25%, Burnley 43%. The final score 0-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Burnley), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Burnley) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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