Leeds United 1-1 Blackburn Rovers — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Championship, 1 Jan 2025

📅01/01/2025 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
59%
1.33
Draw
23%
4.62
Away
18%
7.18
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
48%
2.1
Over 2.5
52%
1.67
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
2.06
No
53%
1.68
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
26%
3.87
2-3 Goals
39%
1.81
4-5 Goals
23%
3.02
6+ Goals
12%
9.76
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.87 — our 26% vs market 20.0%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
28%
1.6
1/2
5%
34.5
1/X
7%
22.1
X/1
18%
3.43
X/2
7%
18.0
X/X
7%
6.96
2/1
13%
23.85
2/2
6%
14.9
2/X
9%
22.55
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
59%
Home Win
71%
-11.5pp
23%
Draw
18%
+4.9pp
18%
Away Win
11%
+6.6pp
48%
Under 2.5
44%
+4.3pp
52%
Over 2.5
56%
-4.3pp
47%
BTTS Yes
44%
+2.2pp
53%
BTTS No
56%
-2.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Leeds United EU Bookmakers 75%
Head to Head
AWAY Blackburn Rovers EU Bookmakers 14%
-4% / -13% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +16% / +22%
2.02/0.69 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.93/1.81
-5% / +22% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +32% / +51%
62% Ball Possession 38%
18 Total Shots 8
7 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 4
406 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 205 · 64%
35.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 14.5
21.9 Crosses 11.6
1.4 Yellow Cards 2.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Leeds United
3W-1D-2L
AWAY Blackburn Rovers
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 0.83
1.44 xG 0.83
64% Ball Possession 36%
14 Total Shots 8
5 Shots on Target 2
7 Corners 4
418 Passes 199
83% Pass Accuracy 64%
28 Box Touches 16
23 Crosses 11
1 Yellow Cards 2
30.11.2024 Blackburn Rovers Blackburn Rovers 1-0 HT 1-0 Leeds United Leeds United İNCL
13.04.2024 Leeds United Leeds United 0-1 HT 0-0 Blackburn Rovers Blackburn Rovers İNCL
09.12.2023 Blackburn Rovers Blackburn Rovers 0-2 HT 0-1 Leeds United Leeds United İNCL
28.07.2021 Blackburn Rovers Blackburn Rovers 1-1 Leeds United Leeds United HAZ
04.07.2020 Blackburn Rovers Blackburn Rovers 1-3 HT 0-2 Leeds United Leeds United İNCL
09.11.2019 Leeds United Leeds United 2-1 HT 2-1 Blackburn Rovers Blackburn Rovers İNCL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Leeds United
1-1
AWAY Blackburn Rovers
1.25 xG 0.54
70% Ball Possession 30%
12 Total Shots 4
4 Shots on Target 2
8 Corners 3
541 Passes 197
89% Pass Accuracy 74%
34 Box Touches 9
35 Crosses 7
2 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Leeds United vs Blackburn Rovers
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Leeds United and Blackburn Rovers couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. Half-time: 0-0.

This one beat our numbers. Leeds United carried 59% before kick-off and it didn't land — a reminder that even strong leads lose regularly.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 52% and both teams to score was close to even at 47%.

On the day, Leeds United had 70% of the ball to Blackburn Rovers's 30%, shots finished 12-4, expected goals 1.25 to 0.54.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Leeds United had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Leeds United and 0.83 for Blackburn Rovers.

What was the final score of Leeds United vs Blackburn Rovers?

Leeds United 1-1 Blackburn Rovers in the England - Championship on 01/01/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Leeds United vs Blackburn Rovers?

Before kick-off our model rated a Leeds United win the most likely single outcome at about 59%, with the full match-result split Leeds United 59%, draw 23%, Blackburn Rovers 18%. The final score 1-1 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Leeds United) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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