Millwall 0-1 Oxford United — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Championship, 1 Jan 2025

Millwall
0-1 HT 0-0
Oxford United
📅01/01/2025 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 ✗ 2nd Score 0-0 ✗
England - Championship – 2024/2025

Millwall vs Oxford United Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
47%
1.76
Draw
28%
3.28
Away
25%
4.31
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
59%
1.59
Over 2.5
41%
2.23
Both Teams to Score
Yes
43%
2.13
No
57%
1.63
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
31%
2.35
2-3 Goals
42%
1.74
4-5 Goals
19%
4.76
6+ Goals
8%
28.0
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
2.43
1/2
6%
34.5
1/X
11%
16.15
X/1
17%
3.81
X/2
11%
8.89
X/X
9%
4.12
2/1
11%
29.5
2/2
8%
7.88
2/X
8%
17.1
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
46%
Home Win
53%
-6.3pp
28%
Draw
27%
+1.3pp
25%
Away Win
20%
+5.0pp
59%
Under 2.5
59%
-0.1pp
41%
Over 2.5
41%
+0.1pp
43%
BTTS Yes
43%
+0.4pp
57%
BTTS No
57%
-0.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Millwall v Oxford United — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Millwall EU Bookmakers 57%
Head to Head
AWAY Oxford United EU Bookmakers 23%
-4% / -11% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -20% / -20%
1.43/0.90 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.16/1.76
-13% / +7% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -1% / -25%
47% Ball Possession 53%
13 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
295 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 312 · 76%
24.8 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 14.8
24.2 Crosses 11.5
1.5 Yellow Cards 2.8

Millwall vs Oxford United Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Millwall
2W-2D-2L
AWAY Oxford United
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
1.45 xG 1.14
50% Ball Possession 50%
11 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 5
270 Passes 256
74% Pass Accuracy 73%
25 Box Touches 13
27 Crosses 16
2 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
30.11.2024 Oxford United Oxford United 1-1 HT 0-1 Millwall Millwall İNCL
27.08.2019 Oxford United Oxford United 2-2 HT 0-1 Millwall Millwall İNLK
22.04.2017 Millwall Millwall 0-3 HT 0-2 Oxford United Oxford United İN1
29.10.2016 Oxford United Oxford United 1-2 HT 1-1 Millwall Millwall İN1
02.02.2016 Oxford United Oxford United 0-1 HT 0-0 Millwall Millwall İNTK
14.01.2016 Millwall Millwall 0-2 HT 0-2 Oxford United Oxford United İNTK

Millwall 0-1 Oxford United — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Millwall
0-1
AWAY Oxford United
0.86 xG 0.66
55% Ball Possession 45%
15 Total Shots 8
4 Shots on Target 2
3 Corners 4
353 Passes 271
80% Pass Accuracy 73%
27 Box Touches 14
25 Crosses 12
0 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Millwall vs Oxford United
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Oxford United nicked a narrow win over Millwall 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match lean was Millwall at 46%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (59%), no to both teams scoring (57%) came in.

On the day, Millwall had 55% of the ball to Oxford United's 45%, shots finished 15-8, expected goals 0.86 to 0.66.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Millwall and 1.50 for Oxford United.

What was the final score of Millwall vs Oxford United?

Millwall 0-1 Oxford United in the England - Championship on 01/01/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Millwall vs Oxford United?

Before kick-off our model rated a Millwall win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split Millwall 46%, draw 28%, Oxford United 25%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Millwall) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Millwall) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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