Derby County vs Sheffield United Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Derby County v Sheffield United — Team-Based Signals
Derby County vs Sheffield United Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
1-3
Sheffield United
HAZ
2-0
HT 0-0
Sheffield United
İNCL
1-0
HT 0-0
Derby County
İNCL
2-1
HT 0-1
Derby County
İNLK
0-2
HT 0-1
Sheffield United
HAZ
Derby County 0-1 Sheffield United — Actual Match Statistics
Sheffield United edged past Derby County 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.
We called this one close before kick-off — 33% / 29% / 38% — and on the day Sheffield United made the difference. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (56%) came in.
On the day, Derby County had 51% of the ball to Sheffield United's 49%, shots finished 10-6, expected goals 0.71 to 0.91.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Sheffield United led the recent series with 5 wins. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Derby County and 1.50 for Sheffield United.
What was the final score of Derby County vs Sheffield United?
Derby County 0-1 Sheffield United in the England - Championship on 01/02/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Derby County vs Sheffield United?
Before kick-off our model rated an Sheffield United win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Derby County 33%, draw 29%, Sheffield United 38%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Sheffield United), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.