Oxford United 1-1 Bristol City — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Championship, 1 Feb 2025

Oxford United
1-1 HT 0-0
Bristol City
📅01/02/2025 · 🕒15:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 ✗ 2nd Score 0-1 ✗
England - Championship – 2024/2025

Oxford United vs Bristol City Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
34%
2.8
Draw
26%
3.11
Away
40%
2.32
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
55%
1.59
Over 2.5
45%
2.23
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
1.96
No
53%
1.75
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
32%
2.39
2-3 Goals
37%
1.74
4-5 Goals
21%
4.65
6+ Goals
10%
26.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
13%
4.68
1/2
5%
31.0
1/X
8%
14.6
X/1
13%
5.93
X/2
15%
4.88
X/X
10%
3.97
2/1
8%
34.5
2/2
20%
3.47
2/X
8%
14.25
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
34%
Home Win
32%
+1.7pp
26%
Draw
29%
-3.0pp
41%
Away Win
39%
+1.3pp
55%
Under 2.5
59%
-4.3pp
45%
Over 2.5
41%
+4.3pp
47%
BTTS Yes
47%
-0.2pp
53%
BTTS No
53%
+0.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Oxford United v Bristol City — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Oxford United EU Bookmakers 36%
Head to Head
AWAY Bristol City EU Bookmakers 43%
+34% / +34% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -11% / -8%
1.04/1.09 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.16/1.28
+37% / +55% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -39% / -16%
50% Ball Possession 50%
11 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 6
295 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 307 · 74%
17.7 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 22.7
12.4 Crosses 19.0
1.3 Yellow Cards 1.9

Oxford United vs Bristol City Head-to-Head — Last 5 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Oxford United
1W-1D-3L
AWAY Bristol City
0.80 Avg Goals (FT) 1.80
1.38 xG 2.46
41% Ball Possession 59%
10 Total Shots 13
3 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 5
310 Passes 532
78% Pass Accuracy 87%
17 Box Touches 25
5 Crosses 26
4 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
21.09.2024 Bristol City Bristol City 2-1 HT 0-1 Oxford United Oxford United İNCL
09.08.2023 Bristol City Bristol City 5-1 HT 2-1 Oxford United Oxford United İNLK
12.08.2014 Bristol City Bristol City 1-2 HT 1-0 Oxford United Oxford United İNLK
03.03.2001 Bristol City Bristol City 0-0 HT 0-0 Oxford United Oxford United İN1
30.09.2000 Oxford United Oxford United 0-1 HT 0-1 Bristol City Bristol City İN1

Oxford United 1-1 Bristol City — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Oxford United
1-1
AWAY Bristol City
1.01 xG 0.57
69% Ball Possession 31%
20 Total Shots 7
4 Shots on Target 2
5 Corners 3
418 Passes 145
80% Pass Accuracy 60%
23 Box Touches 12
24 Crosses 6
4 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Oxford United vs Bristol City
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Oxford United and Bristol City couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. Half-time: 0-0.

Our pre-match lean was Bristol City at 41%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (55%) came in.

On the day, Oxford United had 69% of the ball to Bristol City's 31%, shots finished 20-7, expected goals 1.01 to 0.57.

Coming into the game, across their last 5 meetings in our records, Bristol City led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.80 goals for Oxford United and 1.80 for Bristol City.

What was the final score of Oxford United vs Bristol City?

Oxford United 1-1 Bristol City in the England - Championship on 01/02/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Oxford United vs Bristol City?

Before kick-off our model rated an Bristol City win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Oxford United 34%, draw 26%, Bristol City 41%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Bristol City), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Bristol City) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
İNCL More England - Championship
1 Feb 2025
15:30 Plymouth Argyle vs West Bromwich Analysis →
15:30 Watford vs Norwich City Analysis →
18:00 Millwall vs Queens Park Rangers Analysis →
18:00 Derby County vs Sheffield United Analysis →
18:00 Swansea City vs Coventry Analysis →
18:00 Leeds United vs Cardiff City Analysis →