Plymouth Argyle 2-1 West Bromwich — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Championship, 1 Feb 2025

📅01/02/2025 · 🕒15:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
26%
4.04
Draw
23%
3.45
Away
51%
1.74
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
44%
1.78
Over 2.5
56%
1.95
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
1.88
No
47%
1.82
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
23%
2.97
2-3 Goals
43%
1.74
4-5 Goals
22%
3.69
6+ Goals
12%
15.75
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
14%
7.5
1/2 EV+ ✗
8%
24.7
1/X
6%
15.7
X/1
7%
9.11
X/2
14%
4.21
X/X
8%
4.7
2/1
5%
34.5
2/2
30%
2.29
2/X
8%
14.15
Value flag · 1/2 at 24.7 — our 8% vs market 1.9%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
26%
Home Win
21%
+4.8pp
22%
Draw
26%
-3.1pp
51%
Away Win
53%
-1.8pp
44%
Under 2.5
52%
-8.3pp
56%
Over 2.5
48%
+8.3pp
53%
BTTS Yes
49%
+3.8pp
47%
BTTS No
51%
-3.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Plymouth Argyle EU Bookmakers 25%
Head to Head
AWAY West Bromwich EU Bookmakers 57%
+14% / +18% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -2% / -13%
1.12/1.72 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.56/1.03
+79% / -13% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +4% / +30%
47% Ball Possession 53%
10 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 5
281 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 338 · 78%
19.7 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 23.9
15.8 Crosses 19.4
1.8 Yellow Cards 2.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Plymouth Argyle
0W-1D-5L
AWAY West Bromwich
0.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.83
0.41 xG 1.85
48% Ball Possession 52%
8 Total Shots 14
2 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 7
350 Passes 387
80% Pass Accuracy 84%
15 Box Touches 25
12 Crosses 23
3 Yellow Cards 2
21.09.2024 West Bromwich West Bromwich 1-0 HT 0-0 Plymouth Argyle Plymouth Argyle İNCL
20.02.2024 Plymouth Argyle Plymouth Argyle 0-3 HT 0-0 West Bromwich West Bromwich İNCL
21.10.2023 West Bromwich West Bromwich 0-0 HT 0-0 Plymouth Argyle Plymouth Argyle İNCL
06.02.2010 Plymouth Argyle Plymouth Argyle 0-1 HT 0-0 West Bromwich West Bromwich İNCL
12.09.2009 West Bromwich West Bromwich 3-1 HT 2-1 Plymouth Argyle Plymouth Argyle İNCL
01.03.2008 West Bromwich West Bromwich 3-0 HT 1-0 Plymouth Argyle Plymouth Argyle İNCL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Plymouth Argyle
2-1
AWAY West Bromwich
1.68 xG 1.97
31% Ball Possession 69%
8 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
2 Corners 5
168 Passes 493
65% Pass Accuracy 83%
16 Box Touches 18
13 Crosses 24
0 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Plymouth Argyle vs West Bromwich
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Plymouth Argyle edged past West Bromwich 2-1. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match lean was West Bromwich at 51%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (56%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Plymouth Argyle had 31% of the ball to West Bromwich's 69%, shots finished 8-11, expected goals 1.68 to 1.97.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, West Bromwich led the recent series with 5 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.17 goals for Plymouth Argyle and 1.83 for West Bromwich.

What was the final score of Plymouth Argyle vs West Bromwich?

Plymouth Argyle 2-1 West Bromwich in the England - Championship on 01/02/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Plymouth Argyle vs West Bromwich?

Before kick-off our model rated an West Bromwich win the most likely single outcome at about 51%, with the full match-result split Plymouth Argyle 26%, draw 22%, West Bromwich 51%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (West Bromwich) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (West Bromwich) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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